Yale Bulldogs at Princeton Tigers ATS Prediction 03/09/19

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The Princeton Tigers (16-10, 8-5 Ivy) welcome the Yale Bulldogs (19-7, 9-4 Ivy) to L. Stockwell Jadwin Gymnasium as the regular season comes to an end. The game is scheduled to start at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

Yale Bulldogs at Princeton Tigers Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last outing. The Bulldogs (12.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Penn Quakers, 77-66, while the Tigers (6.5-point favorites) fell to the Brown Bears, 67-63. The Yale game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 147.5, while the Princeton game went 3 points under the projected point total of 133.

Yale had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.2 vs. 20.7) while Princeton had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.5 (above their season average of 26.6). Richmond Aririguzoh played well for Princeton, finishing with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Yale, meanwhile, was led by Alex Copeland, who contributed 19 points.

In their first matchup this year, Miye Oni led the Bulldogs to a 74-60 victory. He registered a double-double with 35 points and 12 rebounds. Yale covered as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 134 points, which was under the projected point total of 139.5. Yale’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Princeton. The Bulldogs had a rate of 0.292, while the Tigers posted a mark of 0.147.

It’s tough to find a trend for Bulldogs games in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Yale holds records of 19-7 straight up (SU) and 14-10 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Tigers are involved, as 56.5 percent of their games have finished under the total. Additionally, Princeton is 16-10 SU and 11-11-1 ATS.

The offense of Princeton (305th in the country with an offensive efficiency of 99.1) will square off against the elite defense of Yale (94th in the country with a defensive efficiency of 99.6). The Bulldogs figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

Yale vs. Princeton Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Yale, ATS Winner – Yale, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Yale ranks ninth in assists per game (17.4) while Princeton ranks 257th (10.7).
  • The Tigers rank 84th in three pointers attempted per game (24.3) while the Bulldogs rank 208th in three pointers allowed per game (23.9).
  • Princeton ranks 126th in steals per game (6.2) while Yale ranks 193rd in steals allowed per game (7.5).
  • The Bulldogs rank 21st in rebounds per game (39.2) while the Tigers rank 192nd in rebounds allowed per game (35.8).
  • Yale ranks 29th in blocks per game (4.5) while Princeton ranks 169th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
  • Princeton is 4-4 ATS at home, while Yale is 6-7 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Tigers’ 8 home games, while 7 of the Bulldogs’ 13 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Yale and Princeton are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Bulldogs have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Tigers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Bulldogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 7.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 69.0 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.8 points per game (2.9 below their season average).