Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Little Rock Trojans ATS Prediction 03/09/19

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The Little Rock Trojans (10-20, 5-12 SBC) welcome the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (15-14, 8-9 SBC) to Jack Stephens Center as the regular season comes to a conclusion. Action begins at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Little Rock Trojans Betting Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Trojans fell to the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, 77-72, while the Warhawks lost a winnable game to the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 73-72.

Louisiana-Monroe had a free throw rate of 0.327 (above their season average of 0.286) while Little Rock did a great job of converting from the free throw line (16-22; 72.7 percent). Little Rock’s Nikola Maric led the way, finishing with 24 points and 10 rebounds. Daishon Smith fueled Louisiana-Monroe with 23 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Smith led the Warhawks to a 97-84 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 42 points. Louisiana-Monroe had a much better turnover percentage (9.3 vs. 23.6). Little Rock, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.200 vs. 0.159).

The sweet-shooting offense of Little Rock will clash against the porous defense of Louisiana-Monroe. The Trojans rank 40th in effective field goal percentage (0.546), while the Warhawks are 294th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.527). The Trojans should have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Warhawks are among the NCAA’s best at getting to the line, ranking 23rd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.288). The Trojans, meanhwile, rank 291st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.268).

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Little Rock Odds Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Little Rock, ATS Winner – Little Rock, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 71st in three pointers attempted per game (24.8) while Little Rock ranks 264th (18.8).
  • The Trojans rank 190th in rebounds per game (34.5) while the Warhawks rank 240th (33.1).
  • The Trojans rank 31st in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Warhawks rank 134th (3.7).
  • Little Rock averages 14.4 assists per game, which ranks 83rd in the country. Louisiana-Monroe ranks 183rd in assists allowed per game (13.9).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trojans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.4, up from 1.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warhawks have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.2 points per game (6.6 above their season average).