Sacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks Free Prediction 03/09/19

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The Sacramento Kings (32-32), 4.5-point favorites, will travel to Madison Square Garden to go head-to-head against the New York Knicks (13-52). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

Sacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last contest. The Kings (2-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 111-109, while the Knicks (3-point underdogs) fell to the Phoenix Suns, 107-96. The Sacramento game went 6 points under the projected point total of 226, while the New York game went 23.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5.

Sacramento held Boston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.1 (below their season average of 22.2) while New York held Phoenix to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.5 (below their season average of 20.8). New York was led by DeAndre Jordan, who finished with 17 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Harrison Barnes played a pivotal role for Sacramento with 24 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Hield led the Kings to a 115-108 victory. He produced 28 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Sacramento was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined for 223 points, which was under the projected point total of 229. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Sacramento’s biggest advantages. They made 33 trips to the line, while New York went 28 times.

Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Kings games, with an even split between overs and unders. Sacramento holds records of 32-32 straight up (SU) and 37-26-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Knicks games have finished under the O/U total. Moreover, New York is 13-52 SU and 28-35-2 ATS.

The Kings’ Buddy Hield has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 27 points,6.2 rebounds,3.4 assists,2.0 steals per game. Meanwhile, Allonzo Trier has averaged 19 points during that same time frame for the Knicks.

The physical New York offense might be living from the charity stripe in this showdown. The Knicks currently rank ninth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.206, while Sacramento ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.212).

Sacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.3) while the Knicks rank 28th (5.9).
  • Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (20.0) while New York ranks 24th (15.3).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.3) while the Knicks rank 21st (11.6).
  • New York averages 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
  • New York ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.3) while Sacramento ranks 28th (34.4).
  • The Kings rank ninth in assists per game (25.6) while the Knicks rank last (19.9).
  • The Kings average 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Knicks rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (47.5).
  • Sacramento averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. New York ranks eighth in steals allowed per game (7.2).
  • Sacramento averages 51.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. New York ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
  • Sacramento is 9-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while New York is 3-1.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Kings are 30-28 and the Knicks are 13-34.
  • Sacramento is 15-15 ATS on the road, while New York is 11-18-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 19 of the Knicks’ 31 home games, while 18 of the Kings’ 30 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Knicks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 1-3-1.
  • In their last five games, New York has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.0, up from 1.2 for the season.