Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction 03/09/19

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The NBA’s top shooting defense will be a 12.5-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (49-16) square off with the Charlotte Hornets (30-35). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

The last time the Bucks played, they had no trouble getting past the Indiana Pacers, 117-98, easily covering as 9.5-point favorites. The Hornets, on the other hand, defeated the Washington Wizards, 112-111, but were unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The Milwaukee game went 8.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Charlotte game finished 8 points over the projected point total of 215.

The Hornets, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.0, had a fantastic mark of 36.0 and had a better turnover percentage (10.3 vs. 12.6). The Bucks, on the other hand, held the Pacers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.0 (below their season average of 22.0) and had a free throw rate of 0.198 (above their season average of 0.192). Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a solid game for Milwaukee with 29 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. Charlotte, meanwhile, was led by Jeremy Lamb, who recorded 19 points and 10 rebounds.

The Bucks lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 207 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 230. Milwaukee won 108-99 but was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Hornets. Milwaukee had a rate of 10.0, while Charlotte posted a mark of 14.4. Antetokounmpo put up a double-double in the victory with 34 points and 14 rebounds.

Of the Hornets’ 64 games that accepted bets, 36 have gone over the total. Charlotte holds records of 30-35 straight up (SU) and 29-33-2 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Charlotte, just over half of Bucks games have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Milwaukee owns records of 49-16 SU and 38-25-2 ATS.

Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their productive offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Bucks currently rank third in offensive efficiency, while Charlotte ranks 21st in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Hornets rank first in turnover percentage (11.9 percent), while the Bucks rank 22nd in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.5 percent).

Hornets vs. Bucks Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Hornets rank seventh (7.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (6.1) while Charlotte ranks last in blocks allowed per game (6.2).
  • The Bucks average 26.0 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Hornets rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (54.2) while Charlotte ranks 20th (46.9).
  • Charlotte ranks 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (11.5).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.3) while the Hornets rank 23rd (44.3).
  • The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.3) while the Hornets rank 14th (13.5).
  • Charlotte leads the league with 14.2 points off turnovers allowed per game while Milwaukee is second with 14.5 points off turnovers allowed per game.
  • Milwaukee averages 37.9 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. Charlotte ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (33.1).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Charlotte is 10-3 and Milwaukee is 17-1.
  • The Hornets are 29-24 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 48-12.
  • Charlotte is 13-17 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 18-13 ATS at home.
  • In 30 road games, the Hornets have 18 overs and 12 unders.
  • The Bucks have 16 unders and 15 overs in 31 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Charlotte and Milwaukee have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 1-3-1.
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 9.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (1.4 below their season average).