The Austin Peay Governors (22-10, 14-5 OVC) go head-to-head with the Belmont Bruins (25-4, 16-2 OVC) in the Ohio Valley Conference Tourney at Ford Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, March 8, 2019, and will air on ESPNU.
Austin Peay Governors vs. Belmont Bruins ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Bruins had no trouble getting past the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 84-66, while the Governors were victorious over the Morehead State Eagles 95-81.
Austin Peay dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 45.9 (above their season average of 33.3) and a free throw rate of 0.422 (above their season average of 0.240). Morehead State put up marks of 17.1 and 0.276, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Belmont played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 14.1) and a free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.212). For those same stats, Southeast Missouri State put up marks of 20.6 and 0.182, respectively. Belmont rallied around Dylan Windler, who had 22 points and 11 rebounds. Terry Taylor had a solid performance for Austin Peay, putting up 28 points and 10 rebounds.
It might turn into a shootout as two of the country’s best offenses clash. Belmont currently ranks fifth with 118.2 points per 100 possessions and Austin Peay is 13th (115.2). The Governors should have an edge in terms of ball security. They rank 59th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.8 percent). Conversely, the Bruins force the 59th-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.1 percent).
Austin Peay Governors vs. Belmont Bruins ATS Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Belmont, ATS Winner – Belmont, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Belmont ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (27.9) while Austin Peay ranks 183rd (21.3).
- The Governors rank 35th in steals per game (7.7) while the Bruins rank 108th in steals allowed per game (6.2).
- Belmont ranks 63rd in blocks per game (3.9) while Austin Peay ranks 95th in blocks allowed per game (3.3).
- The Bruins average 20.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the NCAA. The Governors rank 162nd in assists allowed per game (13.5).
- Belmont averages 38.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 25th in the NCAA. Austin Peay ranks 111th in rebounds allowed per game (34.2).
Bettings Trends:
- The Governors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, down from 9.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bruins have scored an average of 97.0 points per game (8.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (7.8 below their season average).
