Boston Celtics at Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction 03/06/19

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The Boston Celtics (39-26) will travel to the Golden 1 Center to challenge the Sacramento Kings (32-31). The Celtics opened as 1-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229 points and it begins at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6, 2019.

Boston Celtics at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

The Celtics come in on a high note after dismantling the Golden State Warriors in their last contest, 128-95, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Kings, meanwhile, defeated the New York Knicks,115-108, but were unable to cover as 11-point favorites. The Boston game went 3 points under the projected point total of 226, while the Sacramento game went 6 points under the projected point total of 229.

Boston played a nearly flawless game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 11.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.583 (above their season average of 0.533). For those same stats, Golden State had marks of 18.1 and 0.447, respectively. The Kings, meanwhile, made 26 of their 33 free throws (78.8 percent), while the Knicks had a turnover percentage of 14.9 (above their season average of 11.4). Buddy Hield had a good outing for Sacramento with 28 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Gordon Hayward played well for Boston, finishing with 30 points and seven rebounds.

The Celtics dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last contest, Boston won 104-93. Boston’s 0.167 free throw rate was their largest strength over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.122. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Just over half of the Celtics’ games have finished over the projected point total. Boston heads into the contest with records of 39-26 straight up (SU) and 31-32-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Kings also have a slight tendency to go over the total (50.8 percent). Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 32-31 SU and 37-26 ATS.

The Celtics’ Jaylen Brown has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 12 points,6.0 rebounds,1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Hield has averaged 25 points,6.4 rebounds,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Kings.

It will be a matchup of conflicting tempos as the up-tempo Kings will look to push the more half-court-oriented Celtics. The Kings currently rank fourth in possessions per game while the Celtics are 21st. Furthermore, the Celtics commit the fourth-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent), while the disruptive defense of the Kings causes the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.9 percent).

Celtics at Kings Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Celtics rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Kings rank 15th (16.8).
  • Boston averages 34.9 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
  • The Celtics rank seventh in fast break points per game (16.3) while the Kings rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • Boston ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Sacramento ranks 19th (7.7).
  • Boston ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Sacramento ranks 16th (24.5).
  • The Celtics rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.0) while the Kings rank 28th (51.7).
  • The Celtics rank 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while the Kings rank 28th (14.8).
  • Boston ranks 19th in rebounds per game (44.9) while Sacramento ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.7).
  • Boston ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Sacramento ranks 21st (5.3).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Boston is 15-4 and Sacramento is 9-0.
  • The Celtics are 39-19 when they score above 100 points, while the Kings are 30-27.
  • Sacramento is 22-11 ATS at home, while Boston is 11-18-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 15 of the Celtics’ 30 road games, while 19 of the Kings’ 33 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Boston and Sacramento have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Kings are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 1-4.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.6 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
  • The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 5.6 for the season.