The Dallas Mavericks (27-35), 5-point underdogs, will travel to the Barclays Center to clash with the Brooklyn Nets (32-33). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224 points and it will air on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 4, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds
Both teams were blown out in their last game. The Mavericks (4.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 111-81, while the Nets (2-point underdogs) fell to the Miami Heat, 117-88. The Dallas game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the Brooklyn game went 18 points under the projected point total of 223.
Dallas held Memphis to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.8 (below their season average of 19.3) while Brooklyn did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (17-22; 77.3 percent). D’Angelo Russell played a key role for Brooklyn with 10 points and eight assists. Meanwhile, Dallas rallied around Luka Doncic, who had 22 points.
In their first matchup this year, DeAndre Jordan led the Mavericks to a 119-113 win. He recorded a double-double with 12 points and 14 rebounds. Dallas covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 232 points, which was well over the projected point total of 215. Getting to the free throw line was one of Dallas’ biggest advantages. They made 41 trips to the line, while Brooklyn went just 21 times.
Games including the Mavericks have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (54.8 percent). Dallas holds records of 27-35 straight up (SU) and 36-26 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Dallas, Nets games have gone over the total 52.3 percent of the time. Additionally, Brooklyn owns records of 32-33 SU and 35-30 ATS.
Mavericks at Nets Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 26th in blocks per game (4.3) while the Nets rank 27th (4.2).
- Brooklyn ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.0) while Dallas ranks 28th (16.9).
- The Nets rank 18th in assists per game (24.0) while the Mavericks rank 25th (22.7).
- Dallas averages 13.2 second chance points per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
- Dallas averages 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Brooklyn ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.6).
- The Mavericks rank 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.6) while the Nets rank 27th (52.0).
- The Mavericks rank 23rd in steals per game (7.0) while the Nets rank 28th (6.5).
- Brooklyn ranks 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.3) while Dallas ranks 25th (15.0).
- Brooklyn ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while Dallas ranks 16th (32.0).
- Dallas is 10-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Brooklyn is 8-1.
- The Nets are 31-23 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 26-28.
- Brooklyn is 16-18 ATS at home, while Dallas is 15-15 ATS on the road.
- The Mavericks have 15 unders, 14 overs and 1 push in 30 road games.
- The Nets have 19 overs and 15 unders in 34 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (0.2 above their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 0.9 for the season.
