Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Prediction 03/02/19

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It will be a meeting between two stifling defenses when the Indiana Pacers (41-22), 4.5-point favorites, clash against the Orlando Magic (29-34) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019.

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Pacers (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-115, while the Magic (4-point underdog) beat the Golden State Warriors 103-96. The Indiana game finished 15.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Orlando game finished 25 points under the projected point total of 224.

Orlando dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.135 (below their season average of 0.169) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.511 (below their season average of 0.514). Golden State was 0.093 and 0.448, respectively, for those same stats. Indiana, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 12.4) and a free throw rate of 0.310 (above their season average of 0.176). For those same stats, Minnesota was 13.3 and 0.258, respectively. Bojan Bogdanovic had a good outing for Indiana, putting up 37 points and seven rebounds. Aaron Gordon fueled Orlando with 22 points and 15 rebounds.

The Magic evened the season series at one with a 107-100 victory in their most recent game. Terrence Ross was the game’s top overall scorer with 30 points. Converting at the free throw line was one of Orlando’s biggest strengths. They were 20-22 (90.9 percent), while the Pacers were 14-16 (87.5 percent). Orlando covered as a 4-point favorite and the two teams combined for 207 points, which was just under the projected point total of 208.

Vegas tends to set the total high when the Magic are playing, as 55.6 percent of their games have gone under the total. Orlando comes into the contest with records of 29-34 straight up (SU) and 33-27-3 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Orlando, games involving the Pacers also have typically gone under the total (57.1 percent). Additionally, Indiana owns records of 41-22 SU and 32-30-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Indiana currently ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.4) and Orlando is 28th (100.3). Also, the 23rd-ranked offense of the Magic (offensive efficiency of 105.5) will face a difficult test against the second-ranked defense of the Pacers (defensive efficiency of 103.9).

Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers Free Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Magic rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while the Pacers rank 12th (24.2).
  • Indiana ranks third in steals per game (8.9) while Orlando ranks 28th (6.5).
  • The Pacers rank 13th in points in the paint per game (48.9) while the Magic rank 29th (42.6).
  • Indiana ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.9) while Orlando ranks 27th (9.9).
  • Orlando ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.7) while Indiana ranks 17th (5.0).
  • The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Magic rank 27th (15.0).
  • The Magic rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (31.7) while the Pacers rank 28th (25.6).
  • Orlando ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Indiana ranks seventh (12.5).
  • Indiana ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while Orlando ranks 20th (45.3).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 21-3 and Orlando is 14-3.
  • The Magic are 25-17 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 36-12.
  • Indiana is 19-13 ATS at home, while Orlando is 18-12-2 ATS on the road.
  • The Magic have 20 unders and 12 overs in 32 road games.
  • In 32 home games, the Pacers have 22 unders and 10 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Orlando and Indiana are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Magic have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pacers have 4 overs and 1 under
  • During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (6.4 below their season average).
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 5.1 for the season.