The Portland Trail Blazers (38-23) and the Toronto Raptors (45-17) battle at Scotiabank Arena. The Trail Blazers are a 5-point underdog and will attempt to lengthen their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points and it begins at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, March 1, 2019.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Raptors (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Boston Celtics 118-95, while the Trail Blazers (2.5-point underdog) beat the Boston Celtics 97-92. The Toronto game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5, while the Portland game went 38.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.
Portland dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.167 (matching their season average) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 25.6). Boston was 0.081 and 18.6, respectively, for those same stats. The Raptors, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 11.6) and held the Celtics to an effective field goal percentage of 0.419 (below their season average of 0.536). Toronto received a boost from Pascal Siakam, who recorded 25 points and eight rebounds. Damian Lillard played well for Portland, recording 33 points and seven rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Lillard led the Trail Blazers to a 128-122 victory. He produced 24 points. Portland covered as a 1.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 250 points, which was well over the projected point total of 216. Portland had a much better turnover percentage (7.2 vs. 15.5). Toronto, meanwhile, made 18 of its 31 three pointers (58.1 percent).
Of the Trail Blazers’ 61 games, 31 have finished over the total. Portland holds records of 38-23 straight up (SU) and 35-26 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Raptors games have also finished over the O/U total. Toronto is 45-17 SU, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (27-33-2 ATS).
The Trail Blazers’ Moe Harkless has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 10 points,5.8 rebounds,1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Siakam has averaged 21 points,7.2 rebounds,3.4 assists during that same time frame for the Raptors.
Toronto could put on a ball-control clinic in this matchup. Toronto ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.6 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.9 percent).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Toronto ranks fifth in fast break points per game (18.3) while Portland ranks 23rd (11.1).
- The Raptors rank 13th in blocks per game (5.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
- The Trail Blazers rank third in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Raptors rank 16th (45.2).
- Portland ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.7) while Toronto ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
- Toronto is 11-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 10-1.
- The Trail Blazers are 36-18 when they score above 100 points, while the Raptors are 42-12.
- Portland is 14-15 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 14-17-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 15 of the Trail Blazers’ 29 road games, while 17 of the Raptors’ 32 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Portland and Toronto have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 1-3-1.
- The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.8, up from 3.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 118.4 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (5.3 above their season average).
