The Phoenix Suns (12-50) welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (27-36) to Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns are 5-point underdogs and will try to put an end to a five-game home losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 237 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, March 1, 2019.
New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns Betting Odds
In their last outing, the Suns (7.5-point underdogs) covered in a 124-121 win over the Miami Heat. The Pelicans were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 125-119, but did cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Phoenix game went 28 points over the projected point total of 217, while the New Orleans game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 240.
The Suns knocked down 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.579 (above their season average of 0.511). New Orleans, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8 (above their season average of 24.4). Deandre Ayton played a key role for Phoenix with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Julius Randle played well for New Orleans, contributing 35 points and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Anthony Davis led the Pelicans to a 119-99 win. He notched a double-double with 26 points and 13 rebounds. New Orleans covered as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 218 points, which was under the projected point total of 228.5. New Orleans out-rebounded Phoenix. The Pelicans had more offensive rebounds (16 vs. 10), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 27) and total rebounds (54 vs. 37).
Of the Pelicans’ 63 games, 33 have finished over the projected point total. New Orleans comes into the contest with records of 27-36 straight up (SU) and 31-31-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to New Orleans, a little over half of Suns games have finished under the total. Additionally, Phoenix owns records of 12-50 SU and 26-36 ATS.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the New Orleans offense. New Orleans ranks 17th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.3 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix forces the sixth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.8 percent).
Pelicans vs. Suns Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank sixth in blocks per game (5.7) while the Suns rank 14th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- New Orleans averages 58.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Phoenix ranks last in points allowed in the paint per game (52.8).
- The Pelicans average 26.9 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Suns rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
- Phoenix ranks second in steals per game (9.0) while New Orleans ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- Phoenix averages 18.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
- The Pelicans rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while the Suns rank 29th (40.1).
- The Pelicans rank 10th in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Suns rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- Phoenix averages 29.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 21st in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (33.2).
- New Orleans ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.4) while Phoenix ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
- When allowing under 100 points, New Orleans is 5-2 and Phoenix is 4-1.
- The Pelicans are 27-30 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 11-32.
- Phoenix is 13-16 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 15-17-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 19 of the Pelicans’ 33 road games, while 17 of the Suns’ 29 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, New Orleans has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (4.7 above their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 10.0 for the season.
