UNCG Spartans vs. Citadel Bulldogs Betting Prediction 02/28/19

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The Citadel Bulldogs (12-15, 4-12 SoCon) close out their home schedule at McAlister Field House against the UNCG Spartans (24-5, 13-3 SoCon). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 28, 2019.

UNCG Spartans vs. Citadel Bulldogs Betting Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Bulldogs were victorious over the Samford Bulldogs 87-83, while the Spartans barely escaped the East Tennessee State Buccaneers 60-59.

UNCG’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over East Tennessee State. The Spartans had a rate of 13.4 (better than their season average of 14.6), while the Buccaneers posted a mark of 23.3 (above their season average of 16.9). Citadel, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 15.7). Citadel’s Zane Najdawi had a good game, finishing with 24 points, eight rebounds and seven blocks. James Dickey played a key role for UNCG with 11 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Dickey led the Spartans to an 83-60 win. He notched a double-double with 12 points and 15 rebounds. UNCG’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Citadel. The Spartans had a rate of 0.200, while the Bulldogs posted a mark of 0.048.

Ball protection could play an integral role in this contest. Citadel commits the 43rd-fewest miscues in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while the gambling defense of UNCG forces the sixth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 24.8 percent).

UNCG vs. Citadel Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – UNCG, ATS Winner – UNCG, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • UNCG ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (10.9) while Citadel ranks 267th (18.1).
  • The Spartans rank 11th in steals per game (8.9) while the Bulldogs rank 149th in steals allowed per game (6.7).
  • UNCG ranks 75th in blocks per game (3.9) while Citadel ranks 135th in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
  • The Spartans rank 68th in three pointers allowed per game (20.6) while the Bulldogs rank 289th (30.9).
  • UNCG ranks 117th in rebounds allowed per game (34.1) while Citadel ranks 288th (41.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 64.8 points per game (11.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.0 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
  • The Bulldogs have been outscored by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Citadel has defeated opponents by an average of 0.2 points.