The league’s top scoring team will be a 6-point favorite on the road at Amway Center, when the Golden State Warriors (43-18) clash with the Orlando Magic (28-34). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 28, 2019.
Golden State Warriors at Orlando Magic ATS Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last outing. The Magic (7.5-point favorites) were defeated by the New York Knicks, 108-103, while the Warriors (8.5-point favorites) fell to the Miami Heat, 126-125. The Orlando game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5, while the Golden State game went 18.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.
Golden State had a better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 11.9) while Orlando had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.466). Orlando rallied around Nikola Vucevic, who put up 26 points, 11 rebounds and six assists. Klay Thompson was a key piece for Golden State with 36 points.
In their first matchup this season, Kevin Durant led the Warriors to a 116-110 win. He scored a game-high 49 points. The two teams combined to score 226 points, which was over the projected point total of 214, and Golden State was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. The Warriors’ 26.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Magic, who had a mark of 14.3.
Warriors games have a slight tendency to go over the total (53.3 percent). Golden State is 43-18 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (25-34-1 against the spread (ATS)).
In opposition of Golden State, just over half of Magic games have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Orlando owns records of 28-34 SU and 32-27-3 ATS.
Golden State may have a tough time creating turnovers. Orlando ranks ninth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Golden State forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (12.4 percent).
Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.6) while the Magic rank sixth (5.6).
- Golden State ranks second in fast break points per game (19.6) while Orlando ranks 29th (9.7).
- The Magic rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 18th (17.1).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.4) while Orlando ranks 13th (25.0).
- Golden State averages 46.3 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Orlando ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
- The Magic rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.5) while the Warriors rank 26th (33.7).
- The Warriors rank 18th in steals per game (7.5) while the Magic rank 29th (6.5).
- Golden State ranks 29th in points in the paint per game (42.7) while Orlando ranks last (42.5).
- Orlando ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Golden State ranks 22nd (14.0).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Orlando is 13-3 and Golden State is 6-0.
- The Warriors are 43-13 when they reach 100 points, while the Magic are 24-17.
- Golden State is 14-15 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 14-15-1 ATS at home.
- In 29 road games, the Warriors have 18 overs and 11 unders.
- Of the Magic’s 30 home games, they have 16 overs and 14 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and Orlando have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Magic are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (8.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.6 points per game (8.2 below their season average).
- The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 3.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 6.7 points.
