It will be a showdown between two great offenses when the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-22), 7.5-point favorites, clash against the Philadelphia 76ers (39-22) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 239 points and action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 28, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The 76ers (2.5-point favorites) beat the New Orleans Pelicans, 111-110, while the Thunder (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 121-112. The Philadelphia game went 19 points under the projected point total of 240, while the Oklahoma City game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 238.5.
The 76ers had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 23.9) and held the Pelicans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.447 (below their season average of 0.534). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (28.0 vs. 25.6). Oklahoma City received a boost from Russell Westbrook, who contributed 22 points, 14 rebounds and nine assists. Meanwhile, Tobias Harris was a key piece for Philadelphia with 29 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, George led the Thunder to a 117-115 victory. He put up 31 points, six rebounds and five assists. The two teams combined to score 232 points, which was just under the projected point total of 236, and Oklahoma City covered as a 4-point underdog. The Thunder’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers. Oklahoma City had a rate of 8.7, while Philadelphia posted a mark of 14.8.
Games featuring the 76ers have gone over the projected point total 50.8 percent of the time. Philadelphia comes into the game with records of 39-22 straight up (SU) and 28-33 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Philadelphia, games including the Thunder have finished over the O/U total 50.0 percent of the time. Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 38-22 SU and 33-27 ATS.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 26th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the gambling defense of Oklahoma City forces the most turnovers in the NBA (15.8 percent).
Philadelphia 76ers at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (29.5) while the Thunder rank 11th (31.1).
- Oklahoma City averages 20.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
- The 76ers rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while the Thunder rank 23rd (45.6).
- Philadelphia averages 27.3 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (25.2).
- Oklahoma City averages 18.7 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
- The Thunder rank first in steals per game (10.2) while the 76ers rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while the Thunder rank 18th (5.2).
- Oklahoma City ranks third in second chance points per game (14.8) while Philadelphia ranks 10th (13.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (53.0) while Philadelphia ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (51.0).
- When allowing below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-0 and Philadelphia is 9-0.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the 76ers are 39-18 and the Thunder are 36-16.
- Philadelphia is 12-17 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 16-13 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 15 of the 76ers’ 29 road games, while 17 of the Thunder’s 29 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Oklahoma City are both 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 3.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 123.6 points per game (7.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.8 points per game (14.7 above their season average).
