It will be a clash between two outstanding offenses when the New Orleans Pelicans (27-34), 1-point favorites, take on the Philadelphia 76ers (38-22) at Smoothie King Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 238 points and it will air on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds
In the Pelicans’ previous outing, they beat the Los Angeles Lakers, 128-115, as 6.5-point underdogs. The 76ers, on the other hand, were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 130-115, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The New Orleans game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5, while the Philadelphia game went 15 points over the projected point total of 230.
The Pelicans forced 23 turnovers and held the Lakers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.8 (below their season average of 22.3). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.534 vs. 0.520). New Orleans was lifted by Jrue Holiday, who put up 27 points and seven assists. Meanwhile, Ben Simmons played a pivotal role for Philadelphia with 29 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Joel Embiid led the 76ers to a 121-120 win. He registered a double-double with 31 points and 19 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 241 points, which was just over the projected point total of 238, and Philadelphia was unable to cover as a 3-point favorite. Philadelphia’s 0.500 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over New Orleans, who had a mark of 0.485.
Games featuring the 76ers have finished over the O/U total 51.7 percent of the time. Philadelphia holds records of 38-22 straight up (SU) and 28-32 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Philadelphia, Pelicans games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.5 percent). Further, New Orleans is 27-34 SU and 29-31-1 ATS.
The physical New Orleans offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Pelicans rank eighth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.208, while Philadelphia is among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 22nd-ranked FTA rate of 0.209).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers average 16.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
- Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (27.3) while New Orleans ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (26.0).
- The 76ers average 15.6 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
- Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while New Orleans ranks 14th (5.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 14th in steals per game (7.6) while New Orleans ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- The Pelicans average 58.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. The 76ers rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.6).
- The 76ers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while the Pelicans rank 14th (44.7).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in second chance points per game (14.4) while Philadelphia ranks 10th (13.6).
- Philadelphia ranks sixth in three pointers allowed per game (29.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th (33.4).
- Philadelphia is 9-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New Orleans is 5-2.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the 76ers are 38-18 and the Pelicans are 27-28.
- New Orleans is 15-14 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 12-16 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Pelicans’ 29 home games, while 14 of the 76ers’ 28 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and New Orleans are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
- The Pelicans have been outscored by an average of 6.4 points in their last five games. On the season, New Orleans has defeated opponents by an average of 0.7 points.
