Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction 02/23/19

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Expect a fast-paced game when the Sacramento Kings (30-28), 7.5-point underdogs, head to Oklahoma City to play the Thunder (38-20). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 238.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.

Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds

In their last contest, the Thunder (4.5-point underdogs) covered in a 148-147 victory over the Utah Jazz. The Kings fell to the Golden State Warriors, 125-123, but did cover as 12-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Oklahoma City game went 56.5 points over the projected point total of 238.5, while the Sacramento game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 239.

Oklahoma City’s 7.9 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Utah, who had a mark of 16.8. The Thunder’s mark was better than their season average of 11.7, while the Jazz’s was above their season average of 13.3. Sacramento, on the other hand, held Golden State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.4 (below their season average of 23.3). Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook had a good game, recording 43 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists. Sacramento was lifted by Marvin Bagley III, who had 28 points and 14 rebounds.

In three contests against each other this season, the Kings have won two. The two teams combined to put up 245 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 232. Sacramento lost 132-113, covering as a 4-point underdog. Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.3 vs. 17.2). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.237 vs. 0.167). George put up a double-double in the victory with 43 points and 12 rebounds.

A little over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the total. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 30-28 straight up (SU) and 35-23 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Thunder games have also finished over the O/U total. Further, Oklahoma City is 38-20 SU and 33-24 ATS.

There should be plenty of transition action in this battle that features a pair of the NBA’s more fast-breaking teams. Oklahoma City currently ranks first in possessions per game (106.6) and Sacramento is fourth (105.1).

Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings average 25.6 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Thunder rank 19th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
  • Oklahoma City averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league. Sacramento ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.2).
  • The Thunder average 10.3 steals per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Kings rank 20th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Oklahoma City accounts for 18.7 fast-break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Sacramento ranks 21st in fast-break points allowed per game (14.7).
  • Oklahoma City averages 20.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Kings rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
  • The Thunder rank 14th in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while the Kings rank 29th (34.2).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.3) while Sacramento ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
  • Oklahoma City averages 53.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 9-0 and Oklahoma City is 7-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Thunder are 36-14 and the Kings are 28-24.
  • Sacramento is 14-14 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 16-11 ATS at home.
  • In 28 road games, the Kings have 18 overs and 10 unders.
  • The Thunder have 16 overs, 10 unders and 1 push in 27 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Sacramento and Oklahoma City are both 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, up from 1.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 124.8 points per game (8.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.2 points per game (8.4 above their season average).