Austin Peay Governors vs. Morehead State Eagles ATS Prediction 02/16/19

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The Austin Peay Governors (18-8, 10-3 OVC) will be at Ellis T Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles (10-16, 6-7 OVC) in an OVC matchup. Action starts at 4:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019.

Austin Peay Governors vs. Morehead State Eagles Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Eagles defeated the Eastern Kentucky Colonels, 78-72, while the Governors lost a winnable game to the Murray State Racers, 73-71.

Morehead State played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.463 (above their season average of 0.229) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.491 (below their season average of 0.496). Eastern Kentucky recorded marks of 0.227 and 0.367, respectively, for those same stats. Austin Peay, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 15.5). Morehead State rallied around James Baker, who recorded 14 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks. Terry Taylor, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Austin Peay with 25 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Dayton Gumm led the Governors to an 81-67 win. He registered a double-double with 20 points and 10 rebounds. One of Austin Peay’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 27 free throw attempts, while Morehead State had 24.

The Governors’ Jabari McGhee has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 11 points,5.4 rebounds,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jordan Walker has averaged 20 points,3.2 assists during that same time frame for the Eagles.

The prolific offense of Austin Peay will battle against the porous defense of Morehead State. The Governors rank 27th in offensive efficiency, while the Eagles are 311th in defensive efficiency. The Governors should have the edge on that side of the ball.

Austin Peay Governors vs. Morehead State Eagles Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Austin Peay, ATS Winner – Austin Peay, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Austin Peay averages 36.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 94th in the NCAA. Morehead State ranks 232nd in rebounds allowed per game (37.1).
  • The Eagles rank 151st in three pointers attempted per game (22.5) while the Governors rank 225th (20.4).
  • Austin Peay averages 13.9 assists per game, which ranks 113th in the NCAA. Morehead State ranks 185th in assists allowed per game (14.0).
  • The Governors rank 25th in steals per game (8.1) while the Eagles rank 147th (6.1).
  • Austin Peay ranks 102nd in blocks per game (3.5) while Morehead State ranks 184th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Eagles’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 3.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Governors have scored an average of 79.2 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.2 points per game (3.1 below their season average).