The Alabama State Hornets (9-13, 7-4 SWAC) welcome the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (5-20, 4-7 SWAC) to Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The Bulldogs will try to put an end to a 14-game road losing streak. The game begins at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Alabama State Hornets Betting Odds
In their last contest, the Hornets easily got past the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils, 82-59, while the Bulldogs fell to the UAPB Golden Lions, 69-60.
Alabama State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.9 (better than their season average of 18.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.470). For those same stats, Mississippi Valley State had marks of 18.6 and 0.348, respectively. Alabama A&M, on the other hand, held UAPB to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below their season average of 27.7). Alabama State rallied around AJ Farrar, who finished with 16 points and nine rebounds. Jalen Reeder, meanwhile had a good game for Alabama A&M, putting up 15 points.
In their first matchup this year, Reginald Gee led the Hornets to a 72-54 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 19 points. Alabama State’s 0.167 free throw rate was their largest strength over Alabama A&M, who had a mark of 0.080.
The offensive glass should be a major edge for Alabama State in this matchup. The Hornets are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 53rd in offensive rebounding percentage at 33.1 percent. Meanwhile, Alabama A&M ranks 298th in the country at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 68.9 percent. It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Bulldogs, which ranks 332nd in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.7 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Hornets, which forces the 33rd-most turnovers in the NCAA (22.6 percent).
Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Alabama State Hornets Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama State, ATS Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Alabama State ranks 101st in rebounds per game (36.5) while Alabama A&M ranks 248th (32.6).
- The Hornets average 3.7 blocks per game, which ranks 84th in the NCAA. The Bulldogs rank 136th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
- Alabama A&M ranks 208th in assists per game (12.0) while Alabama State ranks 259th (10.1).
- The Bulldogs rank 53rd in steals per game (7.6) while the Hornets rank 168th in steals allowed per game (7.2).
- Alabama State ranks 178th in three pointers attempted per game (21.7) while Alabama A&M ranks 267th (18.7).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 69.6 points per game (8.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 71.8 points per game (1.3 below their season average).
- The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 3.3 for the season.
