A seven-game home winning streak is on the line for the Yale Bulldogs (14-4, 4-1 Ivy) when they go head-to-head against the Penn Quakers (14-7, 2-3 Ivy) at John J. Lee Amphitheater. The game is scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Bulldogs (4.5-point underdogs) defeated the Princeton Tigers 74-60, while the Quakers (5-point favorite) beat the Brown Bears 92-82. The Yale game went 12 points under the projected point total of 146, while the Penn game finished 34.5 points over the projected point total of 139.5.
The Quakers had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.321 (above their season average of 0.203) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.708 (above their season average of 0.537). The Bulldogs, on the other hand, made 14 of their 19 free throws (73.7 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.625 (above their season average of 0.551). Miye Oni had a good outing for Yale with 35 points and 12 rebounds. Penn, meanwhile, rallied around Devon Goodman, who contributed 21 points.
The Quakers edged out the Bulldogs in this series last year, taking two out of three contests. In the most recent matchup, Penn won 80-57. One of Penn’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 15-16 (93.8 percent), while the Bulldogs were 10-13 (76.9 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Quakers games, with 10 overs compared to 9 unders. Penn holds records of 14-7 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Bulldogs games, with an even split between overs and unders. Additionally, Yale owns records of 14-4 SU and 9-7 ATS.
This matchup pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Yale currently ranks 31st in effective field goal percentage (0.554) and Penn is 60th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.477). Furthermore, the Quakers rank 257th in offensive rebounding percentage (26.2 percent), while the Bulldogs rank 38th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.4 percent).
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Yale, ATS Winner – Yale, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Yale ranks 12th in rebounds per game (40.8) while Penn ranks 200th in rebounds allowed per game (36.2).
- The Quakers average 6.6 steals per game, which ranks 95th in the nation. The Bulldogs rank 195th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- Penn ranks 47th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Yale ranks 109th (3.4).
- The Quakers rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (18.4) while the Bulldogs rank 203rd (23.9).
- Penn ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (10.0) while Yale ranks 122nd (12.8).
- Penn is 6-6 ATS on the road, while Yale is 4-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Quakers’ 12 road games, they have 8 unders and 4 overs.
- The Bulldogs have 3 overs and 2 unders in 5 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bulldogs are 3-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Quakers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Yale has 3 unders and 1 over, while Penn has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Bulldogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.0, down from 8.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Quakers have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (2.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.4 points per game (4.7 above their season average).
