Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Betting Prediction 02/09/19

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-13, 4-6 SBC) will be at Trojan Arena to challenge the Troy Trojans (10-12, 3-7 SBC) in a SBC matchup. Action begins at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Betting Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Trojans fell to the Little Rock Trojans, 84-70, while the Red Wolves were defeated by the South Alabama Jaguars, 70-62.

Arkansas State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.1 vs. 28.6) while Troy forced Little Rock into a turnover percentage of 22.8 (above the 15.1 mark opponents have averaged against Troy this season). Javan Johnson had a solid performance for Troy, finishing with 16 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Tristin Walley played a key role for Arkansas State with 16 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Jordon Varnado led the Trojans to a 90-85 victory. He put up 27 points and six rebounds. Troy was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Trojans made 26 of their 32 free throws (81.3 percent), while the Red Wolves were 22-26 (84.6 percent).

The high-powered offense of Troy will square off against the mid-tier defense of Arkansas State. The Trojans currently rank 79th in offensive efficiency, while the Red Wolves are 281st in defensive efficiency. The Trojans figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Red Wolves rank 43rd in offensive rebounding percentage (33.8 percent), while the Trojans rank 267th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.6 percent).

Arkansas State vs. Troy Betting Pick

Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Troy, ATS Winner – Troy, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Arkansas State ranks 38th in rebounds per game (38.7) while Troy ranks 180th (34.9).
  • The Red Wolves rank 171st in three pointers attempted per game (21.8) while the Trojans rank 188th in three pointers allowed per game (23.5).
  • The Trojans rank 111th in assists per game (14.0) while the Red Wolves rank 225th (11.7).
  • Troy ranks third in blocks allowed per game (1.9) while Arkansas State ranks 105th (3.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 74.4 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 80.2 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
  • The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.3 for the season.