The Denver Nuggets (37-17) will travel to the Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers (34-20). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 8, 2019, and can be seen on ESPN.
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last outing. The Nuggets (3-point favorites) were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 135-130, while the 76ers (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Toronto Raptors, 119-107. The Denver game finished 38 points over the projected point total of 227, while the Philadelphia game finished 3.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5.
Denver held Brooklyn to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 24.9) while Philadelphia did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (38-41; 92.7 percent). Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid led the way, finishing with 37 points and 13 rebounds. Nikola Jokic led the way for Denver with 25 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists to notch his ninth triple-double of the season.
In their first matchup this season, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 126-110 win. He notched a triple-double with 32 points, 18 rebounds and 10 assists. The two teams combined to put up 236 points, which was over the projected point total of 227, and Denver covered as an 11-point favorite. The Nuggets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers. Denver had a rate of 26.8, while Philadelphia posted a mark of 21.6.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nuggets games, with 28 overs compared to 26 unders. Denver heads into the contest with records of 37-17 straight up (SU) and 29-25 against the spread (ATS).
76ers games also have gone over the O/U total 51.9 percent of the time. Further, Philadelphia is 34-20 SU and 25-29 ATS.
This game should be a battle of conflicting tempos. Philadelphia has preferred to play quickly (eighth in possessions per game), while Denver has been more half-court-oriented (28th in possessions per game).
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while the Nuggets rank ninth (46.3).
- Denver ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (18.1).
- The 76ers rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while the Nuggets rank 17th (5.2).
- Denver ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Philadelphia ranks 15th (13.6).
- Denver ranks second in second chance points per game (15.6) while Philadelphia ranks ninth (13.9).
- The 76ers rank second in assists allowed per game (22.6) while the Nuggets rank 19th (24.7).
- The Nuggets average 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The 76ers rank 21st in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- Philadelphia ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (31.7) while Denver ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (32.4).
- Denver averages 53.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Philadelphia is 9-0 and Denver is 17-1.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Nuggets are 35-12 and the 76ers are 34-16.
- Denver is 10-17 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 14-13 ATS at home.
- Of the Nuggets’ 27 road games, they have 15 unders and 12 overs.
- The 76ers have 15 overs, 11 unders and 1 push in 27 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Philadelphia are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Nuggets have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the 76ers have 4 unders and 1 over
- The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 2.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 5.0 points.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
