The Portland Trail Blazers (32-21) will be 5-point favorites at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they challenge the San Antonio Spurs (32-24). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points and it starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 7, 2019.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Trail Blazers (7.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Miami Heat, 118-108, while the Spurs (2-point favorites) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 141-102. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Portland game finished 13.5 points over the projected point total of 212.5, while the San Antonio game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 231.5.
San Antonio did a great job of converting from the free throw line (20-21; 95.2 percent) while Portland had a better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 11.3). CJ McCollum played well for Portland, recording 33 points and five rebounds. Patty Mills, meanwhile played a pivotal role for San Antonio with 16 points.
The Spurs won the most recent matchup by 13 points to even the season series at one. Damian Lillard had a double-double in the loss, with 37 points and 10 assists. The Spurs’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Trail Blazers. San Antonio had a rate of 11.5, while Portland posted a mark of 15.4. The two teams combined to score 249 points, which was well over the projected point total of 218, and San Antonio covered as a 1-point favorite.
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 58.2 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. San Antonio heads into the game with records of 32-24 straight up (SU) and 31-23-1 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Trail Blazers games have finished over the total. Moreover, Portland is 32-21 SU and 29-24 ATS.
The Spurs’ Mills has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 14 points,3.4 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, McCollum has averaged 25 points,4.0 assists during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.
San Antonio should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. San Antonio ranks second in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.8 percent).
San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Portland ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.7) while San Antonio ranks 26th (11.8).
- The Trail Blazers rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (30.6) while the Spurs rank 29th (25.1).
- Portland ranks 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.4) while San Antonio ranks 27th (15.0).
- Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. Portland is 27th in the league with 6.6 steals per game while San Antonio is 29th with 6.2 steals per game.
- The Trail Blazers rank third in rebounds per game (47.9) while the Spurs rank 21st (44.3).
- The Spurs are 25th in the league with 14.8 points off turnovers per game while the Trail Blazers are 28th with 14.7 points off turnovers per game.
- San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Portland ranks 20th (5.4).
- San Antonio is 11-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Portland is 8-1.
- The Spurs are 31-14 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 31-16.
- San Antonio is 13-12-1 ATS on the road, while Portland is 19-11 ATS at home.
- The Spurs have 17 overs and 9 unders in 26 road games.
- Of the Trail Blazers’ 30 home games, they have 15 overs and 15 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Trail Blazers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Portland has 5 overs, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (2.4 above their season average).
- The Spurs have been outscored by an average of 8.8 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has defeated opponents by an average of 1.5 points.
