A seven-game home winning streak is on the line for the Sacramento Kings (28-25), who will be 2.5-point underdogs when they go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (31-22) at Golden 1 Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233.5 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019.
Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
The last time the Kings played, they beat the San Antonio Spurs, 127-112, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Rockets, on the other hand, defeated the Phoenix Suns, 118-110, but failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game finished 7.5 points over the projected point total of 231.5, while the Houston game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5.
Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.9 (better than their season average of 12.0) and a free throw rate of 0.218 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Phoenix was 15.6 and 0.155, respectively. Sacramento, meanwhile, made 13 of their 32 three pointers (40.6 percent). They also held San Antonio to 9-32 (28.1 percent). Marvin Bagley III played well for Sacramento, finishing with 24 points and 12 rebounds. James Harden played a pivotal role for Houston with 44 points, eight rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Clint Capela led the Rockets to a 132-112 victory. He notched a double-double with 23 points and 16 rebounds. Houston covered as a 12-point favorite and the two teams combined for 244 points, which was well over the projected point total of 219.5. One of Houston’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 20-24 (83.3 percent), while the Kings were 9-12 (75.0 percent).
Oddsmakers have a tendency to place the total low when the Rockets are involved, as 56.6 percent of their games have finished over the total. Houston heads into the contest with records of 31-22 straight up (SU) and 24-28-1 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Kings games have finished over the O/U total. Further, Sacramento owns records of 28-25 SU and 31-22 ATS.
The Rockets’ Kenneth Faried has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 18 points,10.6 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Bagley III has averaged 16 points,10.0 rebounds,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Kings.
It will be a showdown of opposite styles as the up-tempo Kings (ranked fourth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Rockets (26th in possessions per game). Furthermore, the Rockets, who rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.233), will clash against the Kings, who rank 24th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.214).
Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Kings rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Houston averages 44.3 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
- The Kings average 20.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. The Rockets rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.5) while Houston ranks 19th (11.6).
- Houston ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (44.5) while Sacramento ranks last (48.1).
- The Kings average 51.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Rockets rank last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.5).
- The Rockets average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Kings rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
- Houston averages 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in assists per game (25.8) while Houston ranks 28th (20.7).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Sacramento is 8-0 and Houston is 9-2.
- The Rockets are 29-14 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 26-21.
- Houston is 9-17 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 19-8 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 13 of the Rockets’ 26 road games, while 14 of the Kings’ 27 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Houston has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 6.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has been defeated by an average of 1.2 points.
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
