The Denver Nuggets (37-16) will travel to the Barclays Center to square off against the Brooklyn Nets (28-27). The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019, and will air on YES Network.
Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds
Both teams were blown out in their last game. The Nets (7.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 113-94, while the Nuggets (1.5-point favorites) fell to the Detroit Pistons, 129-103. The Brooklyn game went 23 points under the projected point total of 230, while the Denver game finished 22 points over the projected point total of 210.
Denver forced Detroit into a turnover percentage of 17.1 (above their season average of 12.3) while Brooklyn did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (23-28; 82.1 percent). Brooklyn’s Shabazz Napier had a solid performance, putting up 15 points. Denver was lifted by Mason Plumlee, who had 15 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this season, Jarrett Allen led the Nets to a 112-110 win. He recorded 18 points, nine rebounds and five blocks. The two teams combined to score 222 points, which was over the projected point total of 215, and Brooklyn covered as a 9-point underdog. Brooklyn had a better turnover percentage (7.0 vs. 10.5). Denver, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 23.5).
Just over half of the Nuggets’ games have finished over the projected point total. Denver holds records of 37-16 straight up (SU) and 29-24 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Nets games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Brooklyn owns records of 28-27 SU and 30-25 ATS.
The Nuggets’ Malik Beasley has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 22 points,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Napier has averaged 18 points,4.2 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Nets.
Denver appears to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Nuggets currently rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Brooklyn ranks 16th in defensive efficiency.
Denver Nuggets at Brooklyn Nets Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 17th in fast break points per game (12.1) while the Nets rank 25th (10.2).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (17.9).
- The Nuggets rank second in assists per game (27.4) while the Nets rank 19th (23.5).
- Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.7) while Brooklyn ranks 17th (44.9).
- Denver ranks 14th in steals per game (7.8) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (6.6).
- The Nuggets average 53.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Nets rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
- The Nets rank third in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while the Nuggets rank 18th (32.4).
- Denver ranks 23rd in blocks per game (4.5) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (4.1).
- Denver averages 15.6 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
- When allowing under 100 points, Denver is 17-1 and Brooklyn is 7-1.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Nets are 27-19 and the Nuggets are 35-11.
- Brooklyn is 14-14 ATS at home, while Denver is 10-16 ATS on the road.
- In 26 road games, the Nuggets have 15 unders and 11 overs.
- Of the Nets’ 28 home games, they have 15 overs and 13 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Brooklyn are both 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
- The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.6, up from 0.3 for the season.
