Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards ATS Prediction 02/04/19

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The Atlanta Hawks (17-35), 6-point underdogs, will be at Capital One Arena to challenge the Washington Wizards (22-30) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 4, 2019.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards Betting Odds

The Hawks come in on a high note after beating the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 118-112, as 2-point underdogs. The Wizards, meanwhile, were beaten by the Milwaukee Bucks, 131-115, and failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The Atlanta game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 234.5, while the Washington game went 19 points over the projected point total of 227.

Atlanta played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.214 (above their season average of 0.193) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.2 (above their season average of 25.1). For those same stats, Phoenix was 0.104 and 21.3, respectively. Washington, meanwhile, held Milwaukee to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.4 (below their season average of 20.6). Bradley Beal played a key role for Washington with 24 points. Atlanta, meanwhile, rallied around John Collins, who recorded 35 points and 16 rebounds.

The Wizards lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 212 points, well under the projected point total of 230. Washington won 114-98, covering as a 6-point favorite. Washington’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Atlanta. The Wizards had a rate of 0.185, while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.084. In the loss, Alex Len had a double-double with 24 points and 11 rebounds.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Hawks are involved, as 55.8 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. Atlanta holds records of 17-35 straight up (SU) and 23-29 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Atlanta, games featuring the Wizards also have typically finished over the total (57.7 percent). Additionally, Washington is 22-30 SU and 22-29-1 ATS.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 30th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 17.0 percent), while the pesky defense of Washington forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).

Hawks at Wizards Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks average 52.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
  • Washington ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while Atlanta ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.8).
  • The Hawks average 14.1 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Wizards rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Washington accounts for 13.9 fast-break points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Atlanta ranks last in fast-break points allowed per game (17.8).
  • Atlanta averages 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Washington ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.7).
  • The Wizards rank fourth in steals per game (8.9) while the Hawks rank 29th in steals allowed per game (10.7).
  • The Hawks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (34.8) while the Wizards rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
  • Washington ranks 21st in blocks per game (4.7) while Atlanta ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Washington averages 25.8 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.4).
  • Atlanta is 3-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Washington is 8-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Hawks are 16-28 and the Wizards are 21-25.
  • Washington is 15-9-1 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 16-15 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Hawks’ 31 road games, they have 17 overs and 14 unders.
  • The Wizards have 16 overs and 9 unders in 25 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Atlanta and Washington are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Hawks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Wizards have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.2, down from 7.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average).