The San Antonio Spurs (32-22) travel to Golden 1 Center to square off with the Sacramento Kings (27-25). The Spurs are a 2-point favorite and will attempt to continue their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, February 4, 2019.
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
In the Kings’ previous outing, they topped the Philadelphia 76ers, 115-108, as 3-point underdogs. The Spurs, meanwhile, defeated the New Orleans Pelicans, 113-108, but were unable to cover as 10.5-point favorites. The Sacramento game went 9.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5, while the San Antonio game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 230.
San Antonio dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.3 (below their season average of 21.4) and a free throw rate of 0.174 (matching their season average). New Orleans was 11.1 and 0.125, respectively, for those same stats. The Kings, meanwhile, held the 76ers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.478 (below their season average of 0.538) and had a free throw rate of 0.217 (above their season average of 0.166). Buddy Hield had a solid performance for Sacramento, putting up 34 points and six rebounds. LaMarcus Aldridge played a pivotal role for San Antonio with 25 points and 14 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Willie Cauley-Stein led the Kings to a 104-99 win. He registered a double-double with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Sacramento covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 203 points, which was well under the projected point total of 220. Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (11.6 vs. 13.8). San Antonio, meanwhile, did a great job of making free throws (13-16; 81.3 percent).
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 57.4 percent of their contests have finished over the total. San Antonio holds records of 32-22 straight up (SU) and 31-22-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Kings have finished over the total 53.8 percent of the time. Further, Sacramento owns records of 27-25 SU and 30-22 ATS.
The Spurs’ Aldridge has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,10.6 rebounds,4.0 assists,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Marvin Bagley III has averaged 15 points,8.4 rebounds,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Kings.
It will be a battle of opposite tempos as the up-tempo Kings (ranked fourth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Spurs (25th in possessions per game). Additionally, the elite offense of the Spurs ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.538), while the Kings are seventh-worst in the NBA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.530).
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (31.8) while the Kings rank 29th (34.0).
- Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (20.6) while San Antonio ranks 25th (14.9).
- The Kings rank 10th in steals per game (8.4) while the Spurs rank last (6.2).
- Sacramento ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (51.2) while San Antonio ranks 27th (43.6).
- San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Sacramento ranks 18th (5.1).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.2) while the Spurs rank 24th (10.6).
- The Spurs rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9) while the Kings rank 29th (14.7).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in assists per game (25.8) while San Antonio ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).
- San Antonio ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while Sacramento ranks 29th (48.2).
- Sacramento is 8-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-3.
- The Spurs are 31-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 25-21.
- San Antonio is 13-11-1 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 18-8 ATS at home.
- Of the Spurs’ 25 road games, they have 16 overs and 9 unders.
- The Kings have 14 unders and 12 overs in 26 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over, while San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 2.6 for the season.
