Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics Free Prediction 02/03/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (33-18) head to TD Garden to square off with the Boston Celtics (33-19). The Thunder are a 3-point underdog and will attempt to extend their seven-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it begins at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 3, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Boston Celtics ATS Odds

The Thunder beat the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 118-102, comfortably covering as 3.5-point favorites. The Celtics, meanwhile, beat the New York Knicks,113-99, resulting in a push. The Oklahoma City game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 218.5, while the Boston game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 213.5.

Oklahoma City dominated every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.154 (below their season average of 0.194) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.5 (above their season average of 26.1). For those same stats, Miami had marks of 0.098 and 22.9, respectively. The Celtics, on the other hand, had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 11.6) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.6 vs. 20.0). Boston rallied around Kyrie Irving, who recorded 23 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Paul George had a good game for Oklahoma City, recording 43 points, seven rebounds and five assists.

In their first matchup this year, Marcus Morris led the Celtics to a 101-95 win. He notched a double-double with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Boston covered as a 1-point underdog and the two teams combined for 196 points, which was well under the projected point total of 219.5. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Boston’s largest advantages. They had 33 free throw attempts, while Oklahoma City had 25.

Of the Thunder’s 51 games, 26 have finished over the total. Oklahoma City comes into the contest with records of 33-18 straight up (SU) and 29-22 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Celtics’ 52 games, 30 have finished over the projected point total. Further, Boston owns records of 33-19 SU and 26-25-1 ATS.

This meeting figures to be low-scoring as two of the league’s premier defenses square off. Boston ranks second in defensive efficiency (103.1) and Oklahoma City is third (103.6).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Boston Celtics ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Celtics rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Thunder rank 10th (15.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (52.7) while Boston ranks 25th (43.9).
  • The Celtics rank third in three pointers attempted per game (35.7) while the Thunder rank 20th (30.1).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in rebounds per game (48.1) while Boston ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (45.4).
  • Boston ranks second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 14th (5.0).
  • The Celtics rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Thunder rank 23rd (8.1).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Celtics rank 18th (13.3).
  • Boston ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 10th (12.6).
  • Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (25.0).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Boston is 12-2 and Oklahoma City is 6-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Celtics are 33-15 and the Thunder are 31-12.
  • Boston is 17-10 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 16-11 ATS on the road.
  • In 27 road games, the Thunder have 16 unders and 11 overs.
  • The Celtics have 16 overs and 11 unders in 27 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 4 overs and 1 under, while Boston has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 5.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (2.5 below their season average).