It will be a clash between two stifling defenses when the Miami Heat (24-26), 3-point favorites, square off with the Indiana Pacers (32-19) at AmericanAirlines Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Seattle at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Heat (10.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 118-102, while the Pacers (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the Orlando Magic, 107-100. The Miami game went 14 points over the projected point total of 206, while the Indiana game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 208.
Indiana had a much better turnover percentage (8.4 vs. 14.1) while Miami had a better turnover percentage (14.8 vs. 13.1). Hassan Whiteside played a pivotal role for Miami with 12 points and 16 rebounds. Thaddeus Young, meanwhile had a solid performance for Indiana, recording 16 points and 10 rebounds.
In their two matchups this year, the Pacers have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 190 points, well under the projected point total of 213.5. Indiana won 99-91, covering as a 5-point favorite. Converting at the free throw line was one of Indiana’s biggest strengths. They were 13-15 (86.7 percent), while the Heat were just 7-10 (70.0 percent). Tyreke Evans put up a double-double in the victory with 23 points and 10 rebounds.
Of the Pacers’ 51 games, 29 have gone under the total. Indiana heads into the contest with records of 32-19 straight up (SU) and 24-26-1 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Heat games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Miami is 24-26 SU and 25-23-1 ATS.
The inefficient offense of Miami (23rd in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.5) will clash against the stingy defense of Indiana (fifth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 104.0). The Pacers figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Pacers at Heat ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while the Heat rank 13th (44.3).
- Indiana averages 19.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Miami ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
- The Heat rank second in assists allowed per game (22.4) while the Pacers rank 17th (24.5).
- Indiana ranks fifth in steals per game (8.8) while Miami ranks 19th (7.4).
- Miami ranks fifth in second chance points per game (14.8) while Indiana ranks 19th (13.3).
- The Heat rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.1) while the Pacers rank 28th (25.2).
- The Heat rank sixth in blocks per game (5.7) while the Pacers rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
- Miami ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while Indiana ranks fourth (43.5).
- Indiana ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.9) while Miami ranks 27th (9.8).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Miami is 15-2 and Indiana is 16-3.
- When reaching 100 points, the Heat are 22-14 and the Pacers are 29-10.
- Indiana is 11-14-1 ATS on the road, while Miami is 10-14-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Heat’s 25 home games, while 15 of the Pacers’ 26 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Heat are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Miami has 5 unders, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 99.2 points per game (6.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.0 points per game (0.8 below their season average).
- The Pacers have been outscored by an average of 11.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Indiana has defeated opponents by an average of 4.2 points.
