Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction 01/31/19

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The league’s top shooting defense will be 2.5-point underdogs on the road at Scotiabank Arena, when the Milwaukee Bucks (36-13) take on the Toronto Raptors (37-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229.5 points and it can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors ATS Odds

In the Bucks’ last game, they were victorious over the Detroit Pistons, 115-105, covering as 7-point favorites. The Raptors, on the other hand, beat the Dallas Mavericks,123-120, but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Milwaukee game went 3.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5, while the Toronto game finished 23 points over the projected point total of 220.

The Bucks had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.615 (above their season average of 0.552) and had a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 12.1). Toronto, on the other hand, played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.386 (above their season average of 0.197) and a turnover percentage of 6.6 (better than their season average of 11.8). Dallas put up marks of 0.261 and 9.7, respectively, for those same stats. Toronto was led by Kawhi Leonard, who contributed 33 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo was a key piece for Milwaukee with 21 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds.

In the season series between these two teams, the Bucks lead two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 239 points, which was over the projected point total of 227. Milwaukee lost 123-116, covering as a 6-point favorite. The Raptors’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Bucks. Toronto had a rate of 10.3, while Milwaukee posted a mark of 13.1. Antetokounmpo played a big role with 43 points and 18 rebounds.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Bucks games, with 26 unders compared to 23 overs. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 36-13 straight up (SU) and 27-20-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Raptors’ 52 games, 30 have finished over the total. Toronto is 37-15 SU, but they are just 23-28-1 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Toronto currently ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.537) and Milwaukee is first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.502).

Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Raptors rank 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Toronto averages 33.3 three pointers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (35.7).
  • The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while the Raptors rank 14th (13.6).
  • Milwaukee averages 26.3 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Toronto ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Toronto ranks 11th (15.8).
  • The Raptors rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.6) while the Bucks rank 27th (11.6).
  • The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.2) while the Raptors rank 12th (48.2).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Toronto ranks eighth (7.3).
  • Milwaukee averages 48.8 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Toronto ranks 17th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Milwaukee is 11-1 and Toronto is 9-1.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 36-10 and the Raptors are 34-12.
  • Milwaukee is 11-10-2 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 12-13 ATS at home.
  • In 23 road games, the Bucks have 13 unders and 10 overs.
  • Of the Raptors’ 25 home games, they have 14 overs and 11 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Milwaukee and Toronto have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-3-1.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.4 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, down from 9.7 for the season.