Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction 01/29/19

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The Phoenix Suns (11-41) and the San Antonio Spurs (29-22) square off at AT&T Center. The Suns will attempt to put an end to their eight-game losing streak. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019.

Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds

The Spurs come in on a high note after easily covering the 4.5-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 132-119. The Suns, meanwhile, were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 116-102, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. The San Antonio game finished 30.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5, while the Phoenix game went 9.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.

The Spurs held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.0 (below the 21.5 mark opponents have averaged against San Antonio this season) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.663 (above their season average of 0.538). Phoenix, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (27-32; 84.4 percent). San Antonio’s LaMarcus Aldridge played well, putting up 30 points, nine rebounds and six assists. Phoenix, meanwhile, rallied around Richaun Holmes, who finished with 12 points and 10 rebounds.

The Spurs lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 197 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 216.5. San Antonio won 111-86, covering as a 13-point favorite. San Antonio’s 0.193 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Phoenix, who had a rate of 0.146. Bryn Forbes recorded a double-double with 24 points and 11 rebounds.

Of the Suns’ 52 games, 28 have finished under the O/U total. Phoenix holds records of 11-41 straight up (SU) and 22-30 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 56.9 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. Additionally, San Antonio is 29-22 SU and 31-19-1 ATS.

The Suns’ Kelly Oubre Jr. has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17 points,2.0 blocks,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Aldridge has averaged 21 points,8.8 rebounds,2.0 blocks during that same time frame for the Spurs.

San Antonio could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Spurs rank second in offensive efficiency, while Phoenix ranks 28th in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Suns rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.3 percent), while the Spurs rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.6 percent).

Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Spurs rank 16th (31.8).
  • Phoenix ranks third in steals per game (9.0) while San Antonio ranks 29th (6.2).
  • The Spurs rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while the Suns rank 25th (46.4).
  • San Antonio ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1) while Phoenix ranks 29th (15.2).
  • San Antonio ranks 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6) while Phoenix ranks 28th (15.7).
  • The Spurs rank sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (46.4) while the Suns rank 28th (52.5).
  • The Spurs average 24.9 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Suns rank 29th in assists allowed per game (25.8).
  • San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Phoenix ranks 12th (4.9).
  • San Antonio ranks eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.5) while Phoenix ranks 29th (19.7).
  • Phoenix is 4-1 when they allow below 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-3.
  • The Spurs are 28-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 10-25.
  • San Antonio is 18-8 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 11-15 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Suns’ 26 road games, they have 13 overs and 13 unders.
  • The Spurs have 13 overs and 13 unders in 26 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, up from 2.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.4 points per game (4.9 above their season average).