Washington Wizards vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction 01/27/19

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The Washington Wizards (21-27) will travel to the AT&T Center to go head-to-head with the San Antonio Spurs (28-22). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.

Washington Wizards at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Spurs (4-point underdogs) defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 126-114, while the Wizards (3-point underdog) beat the Orlando Magic 95-91. The San Antonio game finished 14.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5, while the Washington game finished 31.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.

Washington played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.127 (below their season average of 0.202) and a turnover percentage of 12.5 (worse than their season average of 12.1). For those same stats, Orlando put up marks of 0.095 and 15.2, respectively. The Spurs, on the other hand, knocked down 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent) and held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.2 (below their season average of 24.7). LaMarcus Aldridge had a good outing for San Antonio, recording 28 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Washington received a boost from Bradley Beal, who finished with 27 points, seven assists and six rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the last contest, the Wizards won 116-106. Washington had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.0 vs. 20.0). San Antonio, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 14.7). This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Wizards games tend to go over the O/U total (56.3 percent). Washington heads into the contest with records of 21-27 straight up (SU) and 21-26-1 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Washington, Spurs games also have typically finished over the projected point total (55.1 percent). Moreover, San Antonio is 28-22 SU and 29-19-1 ATS.

The Wizards’ Beal has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 28 points,7.0 rebounds,6.6 assists,2.0 steals,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Rudy Gay has averaged 16 points,5.6 rebounds during that same time frame for the Spurs.

The high-octane offense of San Antonio will square off against the bottom-tier defense of Washington. The Spurs currently rank fifth in offensive efficiency, while the Wizards are 24th in defensive efficiency. The Spurs figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Also, the Wizards, who rank 26th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.1 percent), could have a tough time getting put-back points against the Spurs, who rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.5 percent).

Washington Wizards at San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Wizards rank ninth (4.8).
  • Washington ranks fourth in steals per game (8.9) while San Antonio ranks 29th (6.2).
  • The Wizards rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.8) while the Spurs rank last (24.3).
  • Washington ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (49.5) while San Antonio ranks 25th (43.6).
  • San Antonio ranks 12th in assists per game (24.8) while Washington ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.5).
  • The Spurs rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Wizards rank 28th (47.9).
  • The Spurs rank 12th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while the Wizards rank 25th (14.6).
  • Washington averages 14.4 fast break points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. San Antonio ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
  • Washington ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while San Antonio ranks 24th (14.8).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Washington is 7-0 and San Antonio is 11-3.
  • The Spurs are 27-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Wizards are 20-22.
  • Washington is 7-18 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 17-8 ATS at home.
  • The Wizards have 13 unders and 12 overs in 25 road games.
  • In 25 home games, the Spurs have 13 unders and 12 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Washington and San Antonio have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Wizards are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 3-2.
  • The Wizards have outscored opponents by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Washington has been defeated by an average of 2.8 points.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (1.0 above their season average).