Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction 01/27/19

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The Sacramento Kings (25-24) will be at the Staples Center to challenge the Los Angeles Clippers (27-22) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.

Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Clippers (4.5-point favorites) defeated the Chicago Bulls 106-101, while the Kings (2-point underdog) beat the Memphis Grizzlies 99-96. The Los Angeles game went 16 points under the projected point total of 223, while the Sacramento game finished 19 points under the projected point total of 214.

Sacramento played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (above their season average of 22.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.473 (below their season average of 0.530). For those same stats, Memphis was 19.6 and 0.463, respectively. Meanwhile, Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their biggest strength over Chicago. The Clippers had a rate of 0.268 (above their season average of 0.257), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.108 (below their season average of 0.179). Lou Williams led the way for Los Angeles with 31 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists to notch his zeroth triple-double of the year. Sacramento was led by Nemanja Bjelica, who contributed 17 points and 11 rebounds.

The Clippers have won both contests against the Kings this season. The two teams combined to score 245 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 238.5. Los Angeles won 127-118, covering as a 5-point favorite. Making free throws was one of Los Angeles’ largest strengths. They were 19-23 (82.6 percent), while the Kings were just 10-15 (66.7 percent). Montrezl Harrell was a top performer in the victory, with 22 points, nine rebounds and five blocks.

Of the Kings’ 49 games, 27 have gone over the total. Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 25-24 straight up (SU) and 28-21 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Clippers’ 49 games, 25 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Los Angeles owns records of 27-22 SU and 27-22 ATS.

The aggressive Los Angeles offense could be living from the foul line in this meeting. The Clippers rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.257, while Sacramento ranks 23rd in FTA rate allowed (0.212).

Kings vs. Clippers Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Kings average 13.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
  • Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.8) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (14.6).
  • The Kings rank 11th in steals per game (8.3) while the Clippers rank last (6.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (50.1) while Sacramento ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
  • Sacramento ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.2) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (6.1).
  • The Clippers rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Kings rank 29th (33.8).
  • The Clippers rank 14th in rebounds per game (45.4) while the Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (48.4).
  • Sacramento averages 25.8 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 13th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.3) while Los Angeles ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 8-0 and Los Angeles is 6-1.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Clippers are 27-15 and the Kings are 23-20.
  • Sacramento is 12-13 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 13-11 ATS at home.
  • In 25 road games, the Kings have 16 overs and 9 unders.
  • The Clippers have 14 overs, 9 unders and 1 push in 24 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Sacramento and Los Angeles have both had 5 unders.
  • The Clippers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 102.4 points per game (11.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (10.8 below their season average).
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 1.9 for the season.