The Toronto Raptors (36-15), 4-point favorites, will travel to the American Airlines Center to square off against the Dallas Mavericks (22-26). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220 points and action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
The Mavericks come in on a high note after covering the 4.5-point spread against the Detroit Pistons in their last game, 106-101. The Raptors, meanwhile, were topped by the Houston Rockets, 121-119, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Dallas game finished 0.5 points under the projected point total of 207.5, while the Toronto game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 228.
The Mavericks had 8 steals and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.543 (above their season average of 0.519). Toronto, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 23.2). Luka Doncic was a key piece for Dallas with 32 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Toronto received a boost from Kawhi Leonard, who recorded 32 points, seven rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this season, Kyle Lowry led the Raptors to a 116-107 victory. He recorded a double-double with 20 points and 12 assists. Toronto was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined for 223 points, which was just over the projected point total of 221.5. The Raptors’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Mavericks. Toronto had a rate of 26.1, while Dallas posted a mark of 20.8.
Matchups featuring the Raptors tend to finish over the total (56.9 percent). Toronto heads into the game with records of 36-15 straight up (SU) and 23-27-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Toronto, games involving the Mavericks have a slight tendency to go under the total (54.2 percent). Additionally, Dallas owns records of 22-26 SU and 29-19 ATS.
Dallas might have difficulty scoring as they battle against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Toronto ranks sixth in defensive efficiency while the Mavericks rank 19th in offensive efficiency.
Raptors vs. Mavericks Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors average 50.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Mavericks rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9).
- Toronto averages 18.4 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (17.2).
- The Raptors rank 15th in assists per game (24.5) while the Mavericks rank 25th (22.6).
- Toronto ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.3) while Dallas ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
- Dallas ranks 11th in rebounds per game (46.0) while Toronto ranks 17th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
- The Raptors rank 10th in steals allowed per game (7.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (8.6).
- The Raptors average 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
- Dallas ranks eighth in second chance points per game (13.9) while Toronto ranks 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
- Dallas is 7-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Toronto is 9-1.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Raptors are 33-12 and the Mavericks are 22-21.
- Toronto is 11-14-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 17-7 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 14 of the Mavericks’ 24 home games, while 15 of the Raptors’ 26 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Toronto and Dallas are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Raptors have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Mavericks have 5 unders
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
- The Mavericks have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has defeated opponents by an average of 0.1 points.
