Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Prediction 01/05/19

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The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (8-5, 1-0 SBC) welcome the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-7, 1-0 SBC) to Fant-Ewing Coliseum. The Warhawks will try to extend their six-game home winning streak, while the Red Wolves look to end their five-game road losing streak. The game gets underway at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Odds

In their last game, the Warhawks defeated the Jackson State Tigers, 75-66, while the Red Wolves were blown out by the Abilene Christian Wildcats, 94-73.

Louisiana-Monroe played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.302 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.557. Jackson State put up marks of 0.232 and 0.473, respectively, for those same stats. Arkansas State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (18.7 vs. 20.8). Louisiana-Monroe was led by Daishon Smith, who contributed 24 points. Ty Cockfield II, meanwhile was a key piece for Arkansas State with 24 points and six assists.

The Red Wolves took this series last year, emerging victorious in two out of three games. In the most recent game, Louisiana-Monroe won 76-54. Louisiana-Monroe had a much better turnover percentage (10.7 vs. 18.7). Arkansas State, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (10-12; 83.3 percent). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Travis Munnings has been playing at a high level recently for Louisiana-Monroe, averaging 0 points over the last five games.

Louisiana-Monroe could put on a ball-control clinic in this battle. Louisiana-Monroe ranks 45th in the NCAA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while Arkansas State forces the 95th-fewest turnovers (18.0 percent). Also, the Red Wolves are among the NCAA’s elite at getting to the line, ranking 53rd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.281). The Warhawks, meanwhile, rank 35th at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.179.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Louisiana-Monroe, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Arkansas State ranks 46th in rebounds per game (39.4) while Louisiana-Monroe ranks 230th (33.0).
  • The Red Wolves rank 39th in blocks per game (4.6) while the Warhawks rank 144th (2.5).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 37th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Arkansas State ranks 82nd (6.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 1.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warhawks have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average).