Michigan State Spartans at Louisville Cardinals ATS Prediction

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The Louisville Cardinals (3-2) will have their hands full against the nation’s top shooting defense when they meet the 11th-ranked Michigan State Spartans (5-1) at KFC Yum! Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018, and will air on ESPN.

Michigan State Spartans at Louisville Cardinals ATS Odds

In their last contest, the Cardinals lost a winnable game to the Marquette Golden Eagles, 77-74, while the Spartans defeated the Texas Longhorns, 78-68.

Michigan State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 50.0 (above their season average of 34.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.627 (above their season average of 0.569). For those same stats, Texas was 25.6 and 0.414, respectively. Louisville, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (32.6 vs. 28.9). Jordan Nwora had a solid performance for Louisville, finishing with 15 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Cassius Winston fueled Michigan State with 20 points and 10 assists.

Louisville could put on a ball-control clinic in this showdown. Dating back to last season, Louisville ranks 55th in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.9 percent), while Michigan State has forced the ninth-fewest turnovers (15.0 percent). Also, the upper-echelon offense of the Spartans ranks 11th in effective field goal percentage (0.570), while the Cardinals have been 40th-best in the NCAA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.474).

Michigan State at Louisville Betting Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Louisville, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • Michigan State ranks sixth in rebounds per game (41.6) while Louisville ranks 229th in rebounds allowed per game (36.2).
  • The Spartans average 6.9 blocks per game, which ranks first in the NCAA. The Cardinals rank 121st in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
  • The Cardinals rank 90th in steals per game (6.8) while the Spartans rank 289th (4.3).
  • Michigan State ranks first in assists per game (19.4) while Louisville ranks 166th (13.5).