The league’s top scoring defense will be a 9-point favorite at home in TD Garden, when the Boston Celtics (4-2) square off with the Detroit Pistons (4-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 209.5 points and it gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics Betting Odds
In their first matchup this season, Morris led the Celtics to a 109-89 victory. He put up 18 points and eight rebounds. The two teams combined for 198 points, which was under the projected point total of 212.5, and Boston covered as a 3.5-point favorite. The Celtics’ 16.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Pistons, who had a rate of 11.5.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Boston ranks 27th in possessions per game (97.9) and Detroit is 21st (98.6) since the 2017-18 season.
Pistons games tend to finish under the projected point total (60.0 percent). Detroit is 4-1 straight up (SU), but they have trouble covering the spread (1-4 against the spread (ATS)).
Celtics games also tend to finish under the total (83.3 percent). Further, Boston owns records of 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS.
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Celtics rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank eighth (7.2).
- Boston ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.2) while Detroit ranks 28th (25.2).
- The Pistons rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while the Celtics rank 26th (15.0).
- Detroit ranks 19th in fast break points per game (10.7) while Boston ranks 27th (9.7).
- Boston ranks 18th in blocks per game (4.4) while Detroit ranks 25th (3.9).
- The Celtics rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (27.9) while the Pistons rank 25th (30.8).
- The Celtics rank 10th in rebounds per game (44.3) while the Pistons rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.7).
- Boston ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Detroit ranks sixth (11.3).
- Detroit ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (43.9) while Boston ranks 29th (40.0).
- Boston is 45-8 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Detroit is 22-6.
- The Pistons are 39-19 when they reach the century mark, while the Celtics are 55-16.