The Kent State Golden Flashes (+1) aren’t traveling far to take on the Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. ESPNU is scheduled to televise the action and this MAC game kicks off at 8:00 p.m. ET. When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Bowling Green won by four touchdowns 44-16.
Betting Preview: Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Bowling Green is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 1 point. The Golden Flashes are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -105. If one side can catch a lucky break early on, it would likely create a nice live betting opportunity.
The opening line was originally set at 0, but has recently shifted.
The Golden Flashes are 5-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.0 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.
The Falcons have lost 3.0 units this season. The team is 2-6 ATS and five of its games have gone over the total.
The Golden Flashes are 1-7 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against conference opponents. The Falcons are 1-7 SU overall and 0-4 SU in conference play.
The Golden Flashes are most-recently on the rebound after a narrow 24-23 defeat to Akron on October 20Their defense allowed the Zips to rush for 143 yards on 39 attempts, including two rush TDs. Kato Nelson posted a good day for the Zips in that one with 90 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts. On the offense, Woody Barrett completed just 16 passes on 30 attempts for 188 yards and one touchdown. Barrett (81 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Justin Rankin (49 yards on 15 carries, one TD). Antwan Dixon (four receptions, 54 yards) and Isaiah McKoy (four catches, 26 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Two weeks ago, Ohio knocked off this Bowling Green team by a score of 49-14. The Falcons defense allowed the Bobcats to rush for 392 yards on 50 attempts, including three rush TDs. Maleek Irons had a productive outing for Ohio, accounting for 116 rushing yards on 12 attempts. For Bowling Green, Jarret Doege completed 19-of-24 passes for 214 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Rico Frye (36 rushing yards on eight attempts) mounted the running game as Scott Miller (six receptions, 145 yards, one TD) and Bryson Denley (four catches, 13 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Kent State has run the ball on 52.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Bowling Green has an overall rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Golden Flashes have produced 171.6 rush yards/game (including 161.5 per game versus Mid-American opponents) and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Falcons are totaling 106.6 rushing yards per game (127.3 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.
The Golden Flashes offense has logged 222.5 yards per game in the air overall (233.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Falcons have put up 270.8 pass yards per contest (296 against MAC competition) and have 21 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Kent State has allowed 197.3 rush yards and 292.6 pass yards per game. The Bowling Green D has allowed 182.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 332.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Flashes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.22 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have allowed a whopping 9.22 ANY/A.
Offensively, Barrett has put up 1,599 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 158-of-257 attempts with eight passing scores and seven interceptions. Barrett’s got a 4.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.43 over the last two outings.
Jarret Doege has connected on 161-of-251 passes for 1,699 yards, 17 TDs and seven INTs for Bowling Green. His ANY/A stands at 5.86 for the year and 9.64 over his past two outings.
Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick
SU Winner: Bowling Green, ATS Winner: Bowling Green
Betting Notes
- Both teams have lost seven fumbles this year.
- The Kent State defense has three times as many sacks as Bowling Green this year (18 versus six).
- As a team, Kent State has averaged 4.5 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.
- Bowling Green has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.9 over its past two.
- Over its last three matches, Bowling Green is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Kent State’s previous game going into it was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 24-23 defeat to Akron.
- In its last three matchups, Kent State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for Bowling Green’s last matchup was set at 66.5. The under cashed in the 49-14 loss to Ohio.
