Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs are traveling east to Citizens Bank Park to face the Philadelphia Phillies. This NL matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both NSC+ and NSPA.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Chicago (-115) is favored over Philadelphia (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +130 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -150 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Cubs are 79-54 SU and are 66-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 0.3 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 71-62 SU and 66-67 ATS. The team’s gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have a 59-69-5 over/under record in 2018. The Cubs have also been a good under bet with a total record of 58-71-3.

Jose Quintana will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The southpaw Quintana is 11-9 with a 4.33 ERA and 116 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies will turn to righty Nick Pivetta (7-10, 4.76 ERA), who has 162 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Pivetta is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.23, along with a K/9 of 8.66.

Cubs hitters have slashed .263/.342/.421 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .294/.327/.568 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 81 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.280/.375/.478) is up to 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 59 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .283/.361/.509 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .268/.322/.448 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .254/.362/.358 with 11 homers, 41 RBIs, 82 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Cubs have lost 0.8 units and are 50-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.0 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has cashed in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Philadelphia has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 15 over their last 10.