The San Diego Padres will head east to face off against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. Fox Sports Southwest will showcase this interleague showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 8:05 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+150) as the underdog to Texas (-160). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at -145 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +125 for the Rangers -1.5 runs.
The Padres are 35-45 SU and are 39-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.9 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 34-45 SU and 37-41 ATS. The team has lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.6 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Texas games have an over/under record of 35-37-6 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 36-41-2.
Joey Lucchesi is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Lucchesi is 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Rangers will turn to lefty Cole Hamels (4-6, 3.41 ERA), who’s got 92 strikeouts and 36 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Hamels did not record a start against the Padres in 2017.
Texas pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.37, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.7. The bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Texas offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.344/.381 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Rangers offense has been led by Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo is hitting .280/.393/.481 with 14 home runs, 36 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Mazara’s line is .273/.338/.474 with 14 homers, 51 RBIs and 42 runs.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.62 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.42, along with a K-per-9 of 9.40.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.299/.368 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).
San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .271/.347/.441 with nine home runs, 35 RBIs and 35 runs scored. Pirela is slashing .264/.313/.345 with one homers, 24 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.5 units and are 9-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 2.1 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in 13 of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Padres have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
- San Diego has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
- The Padres have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
