Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos: Free Week 6 Betting Pick

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The Tennessee Titans and Denver Broncos are ready to square off on the grass at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. This late afternoon game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans approach this Sunday AFC game as the dog here and they’re currently getting 3 points. The Titans are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -140. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 38 points. If the favorites start trailing early on, it will likely result in a nice betting opportunity in-game.

The game’s O/U was originally set at 40, but the under has gotten the majority of the early sharp action.

The Titans are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.3 units so far in 2019. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-4.

The Broncos are down 3.3 units this season. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-3.

The Titans have gone 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Broncos are 1-4 SU.

The Titans are on the rebound after a 14-7 loss to Buffalo in Week 5Their defense allowed the Bills to run for 109 yards on 27 rush attempts. John Brown logged a productive day for the Bills in that one with 75 yards on five catches. On the offensive side, Marcus Mariota completed 13 passes for just 183 yards. Derrick Henry (78 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. Adam Humphries (four receptions, 30 yards) and Corey Davis (two catches, 28 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Denver is coming off of a 20-13 win over the Chargers a week ago. The defense held its ground in the victory, restricting the Chargers to just 211 passing yards and 35 yards on the ground. Austin Ekeler was a bright spot in the loss for Los Angeles, accounting for 86 yards on 15 catches. For Denver, Joe Flacco completed 14-of-20 passes for 182 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Phillip Lindsay (114 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Royce Freeman (61 yards on 13 carries) mounted the running game while Courtland Sutton (four receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Lindsay (four catches, 33 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Tennessee’s run the ball on 49.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has a rush percentage of 44.2 percent. The Titans have run for 115.6 yards per game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Broncos are putting up 118.6 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.

The Titans offensive scheme has averaged 223.2 yards in the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Broncos have produced 251.6 pass yards per game and have six total pass TDs.

Tennessee has allowed opponents to run for an average of 104.8 yards and pass for 250.2 yards per game. The Denver D has allowed 207.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 126.4 yards per game on the ground. The Titans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.41 to opposing QBs, while the Broncos have allowed a 5.96 ANY/A.

Flacco has connected on 90-of-130 passes for 955 yards, three TDs and three INTs. Flacco’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 5.39 for the season and 7.41 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Mariota is up to 889 passing yards this year. He’s completed 69-of-114 attempts with four passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Mariota has a 5.99 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 8.09 over the last two outings.

Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos Free Prediction

SU Winner: Broncos, ATS Winner: Broncos, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Tennessee defense has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this year. Denver has produced just five sacks.
  • The Denver offense has lost three fumbles in 2019 while the Tennessee offense has lost one.
  • The Titans offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Tennessee defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while Denver has given up two such plays.
  • The Tennessee offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Denver has created three such runs.
  • The Titans defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Broncos have given up three such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Denver’s last outing was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 20-13 victory over the Chargers.
  • Over its last three contests, Denver is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three games, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Tennessee’s last game was 39. The under cashed in the team’s 14-7 loss to Buffalo.
  • Tennessee, as a team, has averaged 3.8 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 3.9 over its last two.
  • Denver has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.4 over its past two.