New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons: Week 7 Free Betting Pick

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The New York Giants (+6) are heading south to face the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This Monday Night matchup gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.

Thursday NightBetting Preview: New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons

This Monday NFC pairing shows the Giants as the dogs and they’re currently receiving 6 points. The Giants are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -230. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 54 points. Some good live betting opportunities may be unveiled during this match.

This game’s O/U has yet to change after it was set initially at 54. Having said that, the line opened at -5 and the sharp action is siding with the Falcons.

The Giants are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.8 units so far in 2018. The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-3.

The Falcons are down 2.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4 ATS and five of their games have gone over the total.

The Giants are 1-5 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Falcons are 2-4 SU.

The Giants are most-recently reeling from a 34-13 defeat to Philadelphia last week. Eli Manning completed only 24 passes on 43 attempts for 281 yards and one interception. Saquon Barkley (130 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Barkley (nine receptions, 99 yards) and Odell Beckham Jr. (six catches, 44 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Atlanta is coming off of a 34-29 win over Tampa Bay last week. Matt Ryan completed 31-of-41 passes for 354 yards and three touchdowns. Ito Smith (22 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) and Tevin Coleman (35 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game as Julio Jones (10 receptions, 143 yards) and Austin Hooper (nine catches, 71 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

New York’s run the ball on 33.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Atlanta has an overall rush percentage of 37.2 percent. The Giants have produced 87.5 rush yards/game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Falcons are logging 86.0 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Giants ought to own the edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Falcons have rushed for 3.8 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.

The G-Men offense has averaged 286.5 yards through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Falcons have put up 329.2 pass yards per contest and have 14 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, New York should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 121.7 rush yards and 243.8 pass yards per game. The Atlanta defense has allowed 307.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 121.7 yards per game on the ground. The G-Men are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.75 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have given up a 7.30 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Manning has amassed 1,336 yards on the year, and has connected on 70 percent of his 194 attempts with four passing scores and two interceptions. He’s got a 5.51 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.76 over the last two games.

Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard have combined to account for 645 total yards and four touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

Matt Ryan has managed to complete 130-of-186 passes for 1,670 yards, 13 TDs and two INTs for Atlanta. His ANY/A stands at 9.01 for the season and 7.77 over his last two outings.

Look for Ryan to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Julio Jones (645 receiving yards), Austin Hooper (196 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), and Mohamed Sanu (230 receiving yards, two TDs) have collectively notched 472 receiving yards and three TDs over the last two games.

New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons Free Prediction

SU Winner: Giants, ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta offense has lost one fumble this season while New York has lost five.
  • The Atlanta defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 10 times this season. New York has registered seven sacks.
  • As a team, New York has produced 5.5 yards per carry across its past three contests and 6.0 over its last two.
  • Atlanta has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.