The sixth-ranked Louisville Cardinals (17-3, 8-1 ACC) and the Boston College Eagles (10-10, 4-5 ACC) go head-to-head at Silvio O. Conte Forum. The Cardinals look to prolong their six-game winning streak. Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020, and can be seen on ACC Network.
Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Eagles (4.5-point underdogs) defeated the Virginia Tech Hokies 61-56, while the Cardinals (10-point favorite) beat the Clemson Tigers 80-62. The Boston College game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 132.5, while the Louisville game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 130.5.
Louisville dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.223) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 32.2). Clemson was 0.148 and 22.5, respectively, for those same stats. Boston College, on the other hand, dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a free throw rate of 0.229 (above their season average of 0.200) and a turnover percentage of 15.5 (better than their season average of 17.7). Virginia Tech was 0.091 and 19.1, respectively, for those same stats. Boston College rallied around Jairus Hamilton, who put up 23 points and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Darius Perry played well for Louisville, finishing with 19 points and five rebounds.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Eagles won the last matchup 66-59. The Eagles’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Cardinals. Boston College had a rate of 5.3, while Louisville posted a mark of 16.1. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Cardinals games, with 10 overs compared to 9 unders. Louisville comes into the contest with records of 17-3 straight up (SU) and 11-9 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Eagles’ 20 games, 12 have finished under the total. Additionally, Boston College owns records of 10-10 SU and 9-11 ATS.
The inefficient offense of Boston College will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Louisville. The Eagles rank 337th in offensive efficiency, while the Cardinals are 49th in defensive efficiency. The Cardinals should have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Boston College Eagles Betting Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Boston College, ATS Winner – Boston College, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Louisville ranks 32nd in rebounds per game (39.6) while Boston College ranks 246th in rebounds allowed per game (38.6).
- The Cardinals rank 35th in assists allowed per game (10.5) while the Eagles rank 154th (13.2).
- The Eagles rank 24th in steals per game (8.7) while the Cardinals rank 200th (5.4).
- Boston College ranks 105th in three pointers allowed per game (20.9) while Louisville ranks 227th (24.5).
- Louisville is 4-3 ATS on the road, while Boston College is 5-7 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Cardinals’ 7 road games, while 8 of the Eagles’ 12 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Cardinals are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Eagles are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Louisville has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Boston College has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Cardinals’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.2, down from 12.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Eagles have scored an average of 59.4 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 71.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
