The Atlanta Hawks (1-2), 1.5-point underdogs, begin their home schedule at State Farm Arena against the Dallas Mavericks (2-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.
Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Hawks (8-point underdogs) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 133-111, while the Mavericks (5-point favorite) beat the Chicago Bulls 115-109. The Atlanta game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5, while the Dallas game went 5 points under the projected point total of 229.
Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 32.5 and a turnover percentage of 12.8. For those same stats, Chicago had marks of 20.0 and 17.6, respectively. The Hawks, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.153 vs. 0.091) and had a better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 14.6). Trae Young had a solid performance for Atlanta with 35 points and 11 assists. Meanwhile, Dallas was lifted by DeAndre Jordan, who finished with 18 points and 16 rebounds.
Conflicting tempos will be on display in this battle. Since last season, Atlanta has preferred an up-tempo style of play (eighth in possessions per game), while Dallas has been slower-paced (23rd in possessions per game). Moreover, the Mavericks have committed the second-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while the gambling defense of the Hawks has caused the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.6 percent).
Since last season, the Mavericks have had records of 26-59 straight up (SU) and 45-39-1 against the spread (ATS). Dallas games have had a tendency to go under the projected point total since last season (56.5 percent).
The Hawks, on the other hand, have records of 25-60 SU and 43-48 ATS since last season. Atlanta’s games have finished under the O/U total 57.1 percent of the time over that same time frame.
The Hawks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Atlanta won 112-107. Making free throws was one of Atlanta’s biggest advantages. They were 18-22 (81.8 percent), while the Mavericks were 12-15 (80.0 percent).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Hawks rank 21st in fast break points per game (10.6) while the Mavericks rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
- Dallas ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while Atlanta ranks 27th (18.0).
- The Mavericks rank sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Hawks rank 25th (5.5).
- Dallas ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Atlanta ranks 20th (13.0).
- Dallas ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Atlanta ranks 15th (44.5).
- The Mavericks average 33.2 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Hawks rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6).
- The Mavericks rank 14th in assists per game (22.8) while the Hawks rank last in assists allowed per game (26.0).
- Atlanta ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (44.3) while Dallas ranks 25th (45.4).
- Dallas ranks ninth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Atlanta ranks 28th (8.7).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 16-13 and Atlanta is 12-4.
- When reaching 100 points, the Mavericks are 20-29 and the Hawks are 21-33.
