Boston Red Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Posts AdminMLB

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox are traveling west to Chase Field to face the Arizona Diamondbacks. Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Boston (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at nine runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). There’s a runline of Red Sox -1.5 (+120) and Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.

The Diamondbacks are 3-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.3 units ATS. The Red Sox have gone 2-6 SU this year and are 1-6 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.9 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 5.6 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 6-1 thus far in 2019. Boston has an over/under record of 5-2.

The right-handed Rick Porcello (0-1, 13.50 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. Porcello struck out 190 hitters in 191 innings last year (33 starts) but finished the season 17-7 overall with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.

The D-backs are turning to righty Zack Godley (0-1, 11.81 ERA), who struck out 185 hitters over 178 innings last year with 81 walks. Godley finished the season 15-11 overall with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP.

Boston’s pitching staff allowed 6.5 runs per game and its starters own a 9.08 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and 7.57 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.37, along with a K/9 of 10.98.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .240/.307/.384 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielders J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .364/.417/.636 with 12 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored. Betts (.235/.316/.382) is up to eight hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 7.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 7.32 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.91 ERA, 1.94 WHIP and 6.6 K/9.

Arizona’s offense is putting up 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .303/.348/.573 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones have paced the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Peralta is hitting .455/.455/.758 with 15 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, and the line for Jones stands at .364/.364/.727 with 12 hits, three RBIs and four runs.

The Red Sox have lost 3.5 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 0.5 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in three of those games, as opposed to zero which went under the total.

Red Sox at Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Red Sox and Diamondbacks did not face each other last season.
  • The Red Sox have a team OPS of .691 this season and an OPS of .592 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .854 overall and their lefty-righty split is nearly identical.