Wyoming Cowboys vs. Georgia State Panthers: 12/31/2019 Free Pick

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It’ll be a MWC-SBC showdown as the Wyoming Cowboys are favorites against the Georgia State Panthers in the Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl. This afternoon game starts at 4:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS Sports Network.

Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers vs. Wyoming Cowboys

Georgia State is the underdog in this game and is currently being given 7 points. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put up $300 in order to net $100 back on the Cowboys (-300). The Panthers are getting +220 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points. If the favorite starts trailing early, it will likely create a nice in-game betting scenario.

The game’s total has shifted lower after opening at 49.5. The original line has remained consistent.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Cowboys have gained 6.0 units and the Panthers are ahead 2.8 units.

The Cowboys are 7-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Panthers are also 7-5 SU.

The Cowboys fell to Air Force 20-6 in a contest where their defense allowed the Falcons to run for 162 yards on 56 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Benjamin Waters had a good day for the opposition in that one with 100 yards and a score on three catches. On the offensive side of the ball, the Cowboys completed 10-of-18 passes for 111 yards and two interceptions. Levi Williams went six-for-11 for 84 yards and one interception while Tyler Vander Waal completed four-of-seven for 27 yards and one interception. Williams (79 yards on 15 rush attempts) also mounted the running attack and was complemented by Xazavian Valladay (38 yards on 14 carries). Raghib Ismail Jr. (three receptions, 41 yards) and Austin Conway (two catches, 22 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back on November 30, Georgia Southern took care of this Georgia State team by a score of 38-10. The Panthers defense let the Eagles run for 279 yards on 47 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. J.D. King put up a solid showing, recording 107 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 16 attempts for Georgia Southern. For Georgia State, Dan Ellington completed 18-of-27 passes for 182 yards. Ellington (-10 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and Tra Barnett (53 yards on 15 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Cornelius McCoy (seven receptions, 89 yards) and Devin Gentry (three catches, 34 yards) led all Georgia State pass-catchers in the loss.

Wyoming’s run the ball on 69.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia State has an overall rush percentage of 60.9 percent. The Cowboys have produced 208.5 rush yards/game and have 25 scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are averaging 245.2 rush yards per game and have 29 total rushing TDs.

The Cowboys offense has averaged 128 yards through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Panthers have recorded 201.8 pass yards per contest and have 21 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Wyoming has allowed 99.4 rush yards and 265.1 pass yards per game. The Georgia State D has allowed 238.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 211.6 yards per game on the ground. The Cowboys are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.87 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers have allowed a 7.99 ANY/A.

Offensively, Williams has amassed 84 passing yards this season, and has connected on 55 percent of his 11 attempts with zero passing scores and one interception. He has a 2.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.40 over the last two games.

Look for a balanced approach offensively from Wyoming in this one. As a group, Xazavian Valladay, Levi Williams and Raghib Ismail Jr. have collectively accounted for 385 total yards over the last couple of outings.

Dan Ellington has completed 193-of-302 passes for 2,083 yards, 19 TDs and six INTs for Georgia State. His ANY/A sits at 6.38 for the year and 5.95 over his last two games.

We also expect the Georgia State offense to mix it up this Tuesday. Tra Barnett (1,261 rushing yards, 11 rush TDs on the year), Cornelius McCoy (626 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Roger Carter (204 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 455 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two games.

Wyoming Cowboys at Georgia State Panthers Betting Pick

SU Winner: Wyoming, ATS Winner: Wyoming, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Georgia State has lost seven fumbles this season while Wyoming has lost four.
  • The Wyoming defensive unit has 31 sacks on the year while Georgia State has just 20.
  • As a team, Wyoming has averaged 3.7 yards per carry across its last three contests and 3.7 over its last two.
  • Georgia State has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.3 over its last two.