Week 6 Free ATS Betting Preview – Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

Two offenses that like to air it out, the New York Giants (+3) are set to play host to their NFC East foe Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at MetLife Stadium. The Thursday Night Football matchup kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on FOX.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

In this Thursday NFC game, Philadelphia is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Eagles are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Giants are +130. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points. On the surface it looks like there should be multiple decent live betting opportunities for this contest.

The game’s total has moved downward after initially being set at 45. The opening spread has not budged.

The Eagles have lost 2.6 units so far and are 1-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3.

The Giants are down 1.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and also own an O/U record of 2-3.

The Eagles have gone 2-3 straight up (SU) and they have yet to face any NFC East opponents this year. The Giants are 1-4 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.

Each team enters the contest on a two-game losing skid. The Eagles fell to Minnesota 23-21 in a Week 5 nailbiter where the passing game was on point, as Carson Wentz completed 24 passes for 311 yards and two touchdowns. Jay Ajayi (29 rushing yards on eight attempts) spearheaded the running attack in the loss. Zach Ertz (10 receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and Nelson Agholor (four catches, 45 yards) shared the receiving duties.

In Week 5, Carolina took care of this New York crew by a score of 33-31. The G-Men defense allowed the Panthers to kill the clock by running for 118 yards on 31 rush attempts. Christian McCaffrey had a solid outing in the win, posting 58 rushing yards on 17 attempts for Carolina. For New York, Eli Manning completed 22-of-36 passes for 326 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Saquon Barkley (48 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Odell Beckham Jr. (eight receptions, 131 yards, one TD) and Sterling Shepard (four catches, 75 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Philadelphia has run the ball on 37.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 34.3 percent. The Eagles have rushed for 110.8 yards/game (including 0.0 per game against East opponents) and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The G-Men are averaging 75.6 rush yards per game (35.0 in conference) and have three total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Eagles might hold an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness, since their running backs has generated 4.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Giants have recorded 3.9 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.

The Eagles offensive scheme has tallied 276.0 yards per contest through the air overall (0.0 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing scores so far. The G-Men have put up 287.6 pass yards per contest (279 in the NFC) and have seven total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Philadelphia has allowed 66.4 rush yards and 292.4 pass yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 237.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.4 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Eagles have given up an ANY/A of 6.74 to opposing QBs, while the G-Men are yielding an ANY/A of 6.28.

Manning has completed 103-of-146 passes for 1,126 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Manning’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.19 for the year and 6.53 across his past two outings. In the other locker room, Wentz is up to 566 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 49-of-72 attempts with three passing touchdowns and one interception. Wentz’s got a 6.56 ANY/A, including 7.37 over the last two outings.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Giants, ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Philadelphia defense has twice as many sacks as New York this year (12 to six).
  • The New York offense has lost five fumbles this season while the Philadelphia offense has lost seven.
  • The Eagles offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Giants have accounted for four such plays.
  • The Philadelphia defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up one such play.
  • The Philadelphia offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created seven such runs.
  • The Eagles defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Giants have given up two such runs.
  • New York was favored by 7 points in its previous outing and the O/U was set at 43.5. The over cashed and New York did not cover in the team’s 33-31 loss to Carolina.
  • Over its last three games, New York is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three matches, Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Philadelphia has lost four of its last five games SU, with a four-point victory over Indianapolis on September 23rd accounting for the only win over that span.
  • Philadelphia was favored by 4 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 48.5. The under cashed and Philadelphia failed to cover in the 23-21 defeat to Minnesota.
  • Philadelphia has produced 4.72972972972973 yards per carry across its past three contests and 5.1 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.7 over its past two.