Week 5 Free Betting Preview: Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Oakland Raiders (+6) aren’t traveling far to face their AFC West foe Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center. CBS will televise the action and this late afternoon matchup is scheduled to start at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Week 5 Betting Preview: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders

Oakland is the road underdog in this AFC game and is currently receiving 6 points. The Raiders are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -230. There might be some good live betting possibilities for this game, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points.

The sharp action has been siding with both the Raiders and the over. The line originally opened at -7 while the total was initially set at only 51.5.

The Raiders have lost 2.0 units so far in 2018 and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.

The Chargers are down 0.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-0.

The Raiders are 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC West opponents. The Chargers are 2-2 SU overall and also 0-1 SU against divisional foes.

The Raiders just recorded a 45-42 win over Cleveland in Week 4. The passing attack wasn’t great as Derek Carr completed 35 passes for 437 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Marshawn Lynch (130 yards on 20 rushes) led the ground attack in the win while Jared Cook (eight receptions, 110 yards, two TDs) and Amari Cooper (eight catches, 128 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

Los Angeles is coming off of a 29-27 win over San Francisco in Week 4. The defensive secondary allowed the 49ers to air it out for 298 yards and two touchdowns. George Kittle had a good outing in the loss, recording 125 yards on six catches for San Francisco. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 25-of-39 passes for 250 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Melvin Gordon III logged an outstanding statline in the win. Along with 104 yards on 15 rush attempts, Gordon III also reeled in seven receptions for 55 yards and a score.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a strikingly similar (60-40 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Raiders have rushed for 108.8 yards/game (including 92.0 per game versus West opponents) and have three scores via handoffs this year. The Bolts are logging 124.8 rush yards per game (123.0 in conference) and have two total rushing TDs.

If 2018 results are any indication, then it’s looking like the Bolts may own an edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has logged 5.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Raiders have registered 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 5.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Raiders offensive scheme has averaged an astonishing 343.3 yards through the air overall (288.0 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing TDs so far. The Bolts have put up 289.0 pass yards per game (424 in the AFC) and have 11 total pass scores.

Defensively, Oakland has allowed 139.3 rush yards and 272.8 pass yards per game. The Los Angeles defense has given up 288.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Raiders have given up an ANY/A of 7.81 to opposing QBs, while the Bolts are allowing an ANY/A of 7.65.

Offensively, Carr has put up 1,028 passing yards this year. He’s completed 72 percent of his 130 attempts with five scores through the air and five interceptions. Carr has a 6.53 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

Marshawn Lynch (236 rushing yards, two rush TDs, 38 receiving yards this season), Jordy Nelson (101 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Amari Cooper (253 receiving yards, one TD) have each played significant roles lately.

In the other huddle, Philip Rivers has connected on 82-of-117 passes for 930 yards, nine TDs and two INTs. Rivers’ ANY/A stands at 8.18 for the year and 7.31 across his past two outings.

We’re thinking the Bolts will control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Keenan Allen (238 receiving yards, one TD this season) has chipped in lately, but Melvin Gordon III (196 rush yards, one rush TD, 195 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Austin Ekeler (141 rush yards, 139 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have been significant factors in the Chargers’ recent offensive gameplans.

Oakland Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick

SU Winner: Chargers, ATS Winner: Chargers, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Los Angeles D has sacked opposing quarterbacks eight times this season. Oakland has registered five sacks.
  • The Los Angeles offense has lost three fumbles in 2018 while the Oakland offense has not lost any.
  • The Raiders offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chargers have accounted for one such play.
  • Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Oakland defense has given up seven pass plays of 30+ yards while Los Angeles has given up eight such plays.
  • The Oakland offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Los Angeles has created six such runs.
  • The Raiders defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Chargers have given up two such runs.
  • Los Angeles was favored by 10 points in its last match and the Over/Under was set at 46.5. The over cashed and Los Angeles failed to cover in the 29-27 win over San Francisco.
  • Over its last three matches, Los Angeles is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • In its last three contests, Oakland is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Oakland was favored by 3 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was 44.5. The over cashed and Oakland covered in the 45-42 victory over Cleveland.
  • As a team, Oakland has averaged 3.86363636363636 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its last two.