Week 4 Free Pick – San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Chargers will go head-to-head on the grass at StubHub Center. CBS will broadcast the action and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Los Angeles Chargers vs. San Francisco 49ers

In this Sunday matchup, Los Angeles is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The 49ers are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -475. Multiple good in-game betting scenarios may present themselves during the match, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

The opening line was -10. The game’s O/U has yet to move after being set initially at 47.

The 49ers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.0 unit so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-1.

The Chargers have lost 1.6 units this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-0.

The 49ers have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Chargers are also 1-2 SU.

The 49ers hope to get back on track after a 38-27 defeat to Kansas City last week where Jimmy Garoppolo completed 20-of-30 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns. Alfred Morris (67 yards on 14 rushes, one TD) and Matt Breida (90 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack in the loss while George Kittle (five receptions, 79 yards) and Marquise Goodwin (three catches, 30 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

In Week 3, the Rams knocked off this Los Angeles team by a score of 35-23. The Bolts defense allowed the Rams to pass for 354 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 171 yards. Todd Gurley II shredded the defense, recording 105 rushing yards and a score on 23 attempts, along with 51 yards on five catches for Los Angeles. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 18-of-30 passes for 226 yards and two touchdowns. Melvin Gordon III (80 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat while Mike Williams (four receptions, 81 yards, two TDs) and Keenan Allen (three catches, 44 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

San Francisco has run the ball on 48.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has a rush percentage of 38.6 percent. The 49ers have produced 152.7 rush yards/game and have two touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Bolts are averaging 124.3 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

It seems like the 49ers might have the edge in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has produced 5.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Chargers have rushed for 5.5 yards per carry and allowed 4.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Niners offense has averaged 239.3 yards through the air overall and has five passing TDs so far. The Bolts have recorded 302.0 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, San Francisco has allowed 97.0 rush yards and 301.7 pass yards per game. The Los Angeles defense has allowed 285.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.3 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.63 to opponents, while the Bolts have given up an 8.16 ANY/A.

Offensively, Garoppolo is up to 512 passing yards on the year, and has completed 35-of-63 attempts with three passing scores and three interceptions. He’s got a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.03 over the last two games.

In the home locker room, Philip Rivers has completed 52-of-81 passes for 650 yards, five TDs and one INT. Rivers’ ANY/A stands at 8.37 for the season and 9.37 over his last two outings.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Chargers, ATS Winner: Chargers, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles offense has lost three fumbles this season while San Francisco has let one get away.
  • Each team defense has tallied seven sacks this season.
  • As a team, San Francisco has averaged 6.5 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last two.