Week 4 Free Pick – Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers will square off on the grass at Heinz Field. NBC will televise the action and the Sunday Night Football matchup gets underway at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Week 4 Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

In this Sunday AFC matchup, Pittsburgh is labeled as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Ravens are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Steelers are -150. There should be some decent live betting possibilities during the game.

The Ravens have recorded 0.9 units so far in 2018 and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 2-1.

The Steelers have lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 0-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-0.

The Ravens are 2-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Steelers are 1-1-1 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Ravens are looking to keep things going following a solid 27-14 win over Denver in Week 3. Joe Flacco completed 25-of-40 passes for 277 yards and one touchdown. Alex Collins (68 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Michael Crabtree (seven receptions, 61 yards) and John Brown (five catches, 86 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Pittsburgh is coming off of a 30-27 win over Tampa Bay in Week 3. Ben Roethlisberger completed 30-of-38 passes for 353 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. James Conner (61 yards on 15 rush attempts) handled the running attack as JuJu Smith-Schuster (nine receptions, 116 yards) and Antonio Brown (six catches, 50 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Baltimore’s run the ball on 38.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has an overall rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Ravens have run for 86.7 yards/game (including 66.0 per game against North opponents) and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Steelers are totaling 90.0 rush yards per game (159.0 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.

The Ravens offense has logged 304.3 yards per game through the air overall (376.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has six passing scores so far. The Steelers have put up a superb 380.0 pass yards per game (335 against AFC foes) and have seven total pass TDs.

Baltimore should possess an edge in both areas of the defense. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 103.7 yards and pass for 185.0 yards per game. The Pittsburgh defense has allowed 311.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.3 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.84 to opposing QBs, while the Steelers have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Flacco is up to 513 yards on the year, and has connected on 68 percent of his 74 attempts with four scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a 7.55 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.88 over the past two games.

On the other sideline, Ben Roethlisberger has connected on 53-of-79 passes for 688 yards, four TDs and four INTs. Roethlisberger’s ANY/A stands at 6.37 for the year and 8.35 over his last two outings.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens

Team Betting Trends

  • The Ravens offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Steelers have accounted for four such plays.
  • The Baltimore defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Pittsburgh has given up two such plays.
  • The Baltimore offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Pittsburgh has created two such runs.
  • The Ravens defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Steelers have given up three such runs.
  • The Pittsburgh defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Baltimore has recorded nine sacks.
  • Baltimore has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Pittsburgh has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Baltimore was favored by 6 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 46.5. The under cashed and Baltimore covered in the 27-14 victory over Denver.
  • Over its last three matches, Baltimore is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Pittsburgh was favored by 4 points in its last matchup and the O/U was set at 53. The over cashed and Pittsburgh failed to cover in that 30-27 victory over Tampa Bay.