Week 3 Free Betting Preview – New York Giants vs. Houston Texans

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Giants (+6) are heading southwest to face the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: New York Giants at Houston Texans

In this Sunday game, Houston has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Giants are also receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Texans are -220. This tilt should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 41 points.

Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Texans and the under. The opening line was initially placed at -4 while the O/U was originally 44.

The Giants are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-2.

The Texans have lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 0-2 ATS and also have an O/U record of 0-2.

The Giants are 0-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Texans are also 0-2 SU.

The G-Men are still seeking win No. 1 after a 20-13 defeat to Dallas last weekTheir defense allowed the Cowboys to rush for 138 yards on 25 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Tavon Austin logged a productive day for the Cowboys in that one with 79 yards and a score on two catches. On the offense, Eli Manning completed 33 passes on 44 attempts for 279 yards and one touchdown. Saquon Barkley (28 yards on 11 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack in the loss. Barkley (14 receptions, 80 yards) and Evan Engram (seven catches, 67 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

Back in Week 2, Tennessee knocked off this Houston crew by a score of 20-17. The Texans defense allowed the Titans to kill the clock by running for 100 yards on 34 rush attempts. Derrick Henry put up a productive showing in the win, recording 56 rushing yards on 18 attempts for Tennessee. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 22-of-32 passes for 310 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Lamar Miller (68 rushing yards on 14 attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Will Fuller V (eight receptions, 113 yards, one TD) and DeAndre Hopkins (six catches, 110 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps.

New York has run the ball on 33.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has a rush percentage of 47.6 percent. The Giants have produced 74.5 rush yards per game and have just a single score via handoffs this year. The Texans are totaling 157.5 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.

It seems like the Texans could own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 5.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.4 YPC to opponents. The Giants have rushed for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 5.2 YPC to opponents.

The G-Men offensive scheme has tallied 251.5 yards/contest through the air overall and has only one passing score so far. The Texans have put up 243.0 pass yards per game and have three total pass TD.

Defensively, New York seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 137.5 rush yards and 168.0 pass yards per game. The Houston defense has given up 234.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 111.0 yards per game on the ground. The G-Men are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.47 to opposing QBs, while the Texans have given up a 7.89 ANY/A.

Watson has been more productive than Manning recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.89 for the season and 5.71 across his last two outings while Manning’s ANY/A is 4.80 (and 4.55 over the last two games).

New York Giants at Houston Texans Free Prediction

SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • Houston has lost one fumble this season while New York has let two get away.
  • Both passing attacks have produced zero pass plays of 40+ yards and zero pass plays of 30+ yards.
  • Both defenses have allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards and one pass play of 30+ yards.
  • Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The New York offense has recorded two running plays of 10+ yards while Houston has accounted for six such plays.
  • The Giants defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Texans have given up zero such runs.
  • The Houston defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs three times this year. New York has registered one sacks.