Week 3 Free Betting Pick – Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Denver Broncos (+5) are set to face off against the Baltimore Ravens (-5) at M&T Bank Stadium. This early afternoon matchup kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos

In this Sunday AFC game, Baltimore is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 5 points. The Broncos are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -180. Some decent in-game betting opportunities might be unveiled during the matchup, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43.5 points.

The game’s total has swung down after opening at 44. The original line (-5) has yet to change.

The Broncos are 0-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Ravens are down 0.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-0.

The Broncos are 2-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Ravens are 1-1 SU.

The Broncos are looking to remain unbeaten after a 20-19 victory over Oakland in Week 2 where Case Keenum completed just 19-of-35 passes for 222 yards and one interception. Phillip Lindsay (107 rushing yards on 14 attempts) propelled the running attack while Demaryius Thomas (five receptions, 18 yards) and Emmanuel Sanders (four catches, 96 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 2, Cincinnati knocked off this Baltimore team by a score of 34-23. The Ravens defense let the Bengals eat up the clock by running for 108 yards on 28 rush attempts. Tyler Boyd put up a productive outing in the win, recording 91 yards on six catches for Cincinnati. For Baltimore, Joe Flacco completed 32-of-55 passes for 376 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Alex Collins (35 yards on nine rush attempts) handled the running game as Allen (five receptions, 36 yards) and Michael Crabtree (five catches, 56 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Denver has run the ball on 44.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 37.6 percent. The Broncos have produced 157.0 rush yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ravens are averaging 91.5 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Broncos might own the edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has produced 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Ravens have rushed for 3.3 yards per carry and given up 3.8 YPC to opponents.

The Broncos offense has averaged 275.5 yards in the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The Ravens have recorded 318.0 pass yards per outing and have five total pass TDs.

Defensively, Denver has let opponents run for an average of 78.0 yards and pass for 293.0 yards per game. The Baltimore defense has allowed 181.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.01 to opposing QBs, while the Broncos have allowed a 7.13 ANY/A.

Flacco has completed 32-of-55 passes for 376 yards, two TDs and two INTs. Flacco’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 5.24 for the year and 6.44 over his past two outings. In the other huddle, Keenum is up to 222 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 19-of-35 attempts with zero passing touchdowns and one interception. Keenum’s got a 4.78 ANY/A, including 5.54 over the last two games.

Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Baltimore offense has lost two fumbles this season while Denver has not lost any.
  • The Broncos offense has produced one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Ravens have accounted for zero such plays.
  • The Denver defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Baltimore has given up zero such plays.
  • Both teams have produced zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Denver offense has recorded four running plays of 10+ yards while Baltimore has accounted for three such plays.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up zero such runs.
  • The Denver defense has seven sacks on the year while Baltimore has six.